If it's that much more infectious than other variants, where was it til now?
If it's that much more infectious than other variants, where was it til now?
In Mexico (where I live) we had the first Delta cases a couple of months ago. It is now the main variant and comprises 90% of sequenced samples (although Mexico doesn't sequence enough samples).
Here are the per country ratios of different VOC/VOI: https://covariants.org/per-country
It took a while until it became dominant in India, and then a similar pattern repeats in each new country.
Since most countries limit travel, it'll take longer to get around
If the virus truly had a massively larger R0 value, as is asserted in TFA, then you'd expect it to catch fire extremely quickly as soon as it starts showing up, and everywhere it is found. Ron Fouchier (see TWiV 777 as cited elsethread) certainly believes that these huge R0 values are not plausible, and that antigenic drift fits the observable facts better.
(Or which kind of media you consume to come to that conclusion)