The spike in homelessness is already here, just not in your county. Some counties deliberately force out homeless folks and push them to neighboring cities, which may be the case where you live.

Seattle saw a 6% rise last year: https://apnews.com/article/seattle-washington-coronavirus-pa... The Tenderloin, SF saw a 285% rise(!) last year: https://abc7news.com/homeless-in-san-francisco-coronavirus-s...