> I am more likely to have been born in a high population country than a low population country
There are more people who are not me than who are me. Therefore I am more likely to have been born not me than to have been born me.
There are more people who are not me than who are me. Therefore I am more likely to have been born not me than to have been born me.
"There are more people who are not phs than who are phs. Therefore I am more likely to have been born not phs than to have been born phs."
"There are more people who are not imtringued than who are imtringued. Therefore I am more likely to have been born not imtringued than to have been born imtringued."
The problem becomes obvious, it's a different bet each time and each time all winners are excluded because they never enter into the bet in the first place.
E.g. I will never bet "Therefore I am more likely to have been born not phs than to have been born phs." even though it's a clear win for me.