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Not everyone can leave their job at the drop of a hat, even with a big severance package. You don't know their motivations or plans.

Exactly. Health insurance in US will tie people down even if they want to leave. For example.

Not really. You just pay for COBRA. Your 6 months severance will cover that rather nicely. Granted it might be cheaper to just get private insurance nowadays.

Granted that the severance will cover it, but COBRA is not cheap (you pay the same your employer + you payed)

Yes, but what about all the jobs that don't pay severance?

aren't they remote?

Most of them are still in the US.

But are those the best 2/3rds of employees, or the worst 2/3rds?

People with lots of options are often the first to jump ship.

I realize in this case it’s likely more complicated than that because people may have moral objections to the change in policy. But the first to jump out of a sinking ship are the people who are confident they can make their way to another boat.

Not everyone is a developer in the US. Job prospects aren't that great for everyone.

Two thirds so far. It's been less than a week.