Also that does not make every idea imaginable also achievable.
And conversely a lot of technological predictions were considered pretty seriously which are pretty far away from today (look at all the future predictions of the early 20th century. Flying cars and humanoid robots and all).
Your comparison with existing cars replacing horses at that time is pretty out of whack with our abilities right now and the task of terraforming Mars, even the question IF making it habitable is even possible. We cannot even redirect asteroids...
I actually don't think cloud cities sound that ridiculous either. Just like I also didn't think landing a rocket on its tail ever sounded unfeasible.
No because your point was about horses being replaced by cars, which is what people (and probably horses) were skeptical about at that time. In the same way IBM was saying that computers will never appear in homes, etc.
But these devices were already there. The misconceptions were about predicting demand and miniaturization. This is completely different from terraforming. You are comparing "oh these devices sure never will be popular enough to make this other thing obsolete" with "lets nuke the Mars to create an atmosphere so we can live on it" (always winter, yeay).[0]
Your argument is bad because by saying "technologies were laughed at in the past" every technology that sounds laughable should be taken seriously? No. This is the same trap that Theranos investors had fallen in. It is all a fantasy.
We humans are very bad at estimating what is possible and what not. E.g. our inability to divert asteroids [1]. That is already a hard problem and currently not possible to do.
I am not against crazy technological ideas, for example the space elevator had a surprisingly good feasibility to being realized before we polluted our planet's atmosphere with junk. Terraforming Mars is in the Theranos land of crazy ideas though.
> Just like I also didn't think landing a rocket on its tail ever sounded unfeasible.
Maybe because that was already demonstrated in the 90s [1].
[0]: https://www.space.com/elon-musk-nuke-mars-terraforming.html [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Wrc4fHSCpw [2]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wv9n9Casp1o
The platform itself has to be constantly maintained, which requires a crew. Military or at least cruise ship with disciplined crewman, rather than anything civilians can be trusted or expected to maintain.
Ultimately, it's a question of building a floating thing, and keeping it floating. This strikes me as not-too-hard, compared to the usual space problem of trying to hold oxygen in a bubble in a vacuum. You just need a sustainable way to 'recharge' the balloons; that really just means filtering lighter gasses from the air and pumping them in faster than they leak out. The Venus atmosphere is primarily CO2 with a bit of nitrogen; the game is then filtering out CO2 and filling the balloons with nitrogen. Coincidentally, we have people putting lots of thought into efficiently filtering CO2 from air already...
The general idea of colonization of other planets is in general much farther away than your average tech billionaire wants us to think :)
In orbit things move sideways with respect to the surface. Fast. So the only way that works is if your “standard orbital space station” has enough propulsion to deorbit itself and hover in place — now that orbit is no longer cancelling gravity — until cubic kilometers of balloons that need to inflate (with what?) could hold it up. That amount of dV is barely theoretical at this point and would require several technological breakthroughs. You’re basically proposing deorbiting ISS without the atmospheric reentry and fiery death part, and given the similarities between our planets and their atmospheres it’s not a poor comparison.
You needn't use your real name, of course, but for HN to be a community, users need some identity for other users to relate to. Otherwise we may as well have no usernames and no community, and that would be a different kind of forum. https://hn.algolia.com/?sort=byDate&dateRange=all&type=comme...
A mass ejection method would have to be maintained too often, but CoM adjustments can largely be automated (at least in principle).
What if Venus already has sentient life? Either pre technosignatures or too sophisticated to advertise their presence to the tribe of nuclear monkeys across the pond.
We can't just go waltzing in there and "terraform" something that isn't ours. We'd had to work it out first with whoever's there.
On the cloud city sustenance point isn't there ample mining to be had? Like Lando
Cloud City worked because they mined a magical gas called tibanna that generated no magnetic field, no radiation, was denser than air, and dissipated heat so well there was no turbulence.