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Comment by monkeynotes | Hacker News Reader

What's driving this new surge of cash?

Low interest rates means managers of pensions and other large money managers can't put their money in bonds. They would lose money because the interest rate is lower than inflation.

So they need somewhere else to put it.

Interest rates have been low for quite some time, though.

Maybe it is also driven by perception of overvaluation among publicly traded equities?

I wonder if it has something to do with how tech companies are relatively unaffected by the big sick.

well the 10-year treasuries along with other t-bills are rising in yields now ...

That's not true anymore, the reflation is underway since 2 weeks.

corporate welfare in the form of immense cash injections, forgivable loans, immaterial interest rates, downright lovable tax policy, and an accelerating crap-ton of captured regulation (like lockdowns heavily favoring the largest businesses). all without any structural reform so that that excess isn't hoovered up by the already wealthy.

This is fascinating. It kinda sounds very unstable though. Like how does a pandemic ruptured economy somehow come out looking better than it was pre pandemic?

it looks better because (1) we (in the US) borrowed $6T+ against the future and injected that into the present, with inflation stayed only because the dollar is the international currency (for now) and (2) capital has nowhere to go but into (existing) equities, financial maneuvers, and real estate. it's hard to erode/inflate away more than $6T, even for an economy as misallocated as ours when you have those two features going for you.

i don't think it will be stable long term, but it's been a slow boiling of us largely oblivious amphibians. the froth of unrest we've seen here and there in the last decade is pockets of us frogs realizing something is wrong, but we haven't reached that 25% awareness/action threshold to unlodge us toward a new equilibrium.

Valuations are high. They're competing with SPACs, and no-one wants to miss out

I suppose this https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttren...

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