Maybe it would be an option to NOT treat every foreigner as a possible threat, but as a welcomed guest to visit Japan and the Olympic games.
edit: I am surprised to see YC attracting people supporting discrimination.
edit: I am surprised to see YC attracting people supporting discrimination.
So if even you won't treat everyone as a possible threat, the chance that 'guests' bring in the virus is high. Since Japan is an island, most people will fly there by plane and most people will be inside the plane for at least 6 hours+. Even if at half capacity the chance that there is 1 infectious person/ person becoming infectious is high.
All Tests are snapshots of whether or not your infectious at time X.
Quick tests are only valid for 6 hours since they only check whether you are infectious.
PCR Tests are more accurate but take some time to get the results. Thus there is a chance to get infected afterwards and before the flight.
So all 'guests' would need to go into quarantine for 5 days just to make sure that there is no infection. Who is going to house them? Is it feasable to have large numbers of foreigners quarantined in Japan? Will they follow the rules? Will they were a mask? Looking at the news and the rule bending rule breaking that is happening in the west regarding the pandemic gives litte hope.
Furthermore, to protect your own country from a new outbreak is it really a wise decision to add another thousands of people into an already overcrowded city?
EDIT: Adding to that, since the whole world is not yet vaccinated mutations are a real threat, even in the US they found 2 new mutations in the past weeks. The later even seems to be immun to the vaccinations. Thus to not have to cancel the whole event and all 'guest' bookings one could also argue that the best way is to minimize the risk, chaos, loss. Now everyone can plan around the restrictions and further cancelations are less likely.
They host the Olympic, they seriously WANT everyone from every country to be in their country! and it's just can't happened right now.
If the situation is normal, and they refuse to let foreigner in, then we'll talk.
It is pandemic but the risk has been overly exaggerated.
Florida can host superbowl recently with almost full attendance.
What would happen if we would let it rip:
- Without any counter measures such as masks or lockdowns the rate of infection would be significantly higher resulting - Tens of millions more dead (https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/06/09/8724419...) The link shows projections done last year in May. Mutations that spread more such as B1.117 (British variant) are not even in this consideration
- More people with long term effects and need for rehabilitation, which will lead to a significant influx on the health care system in third world countries such as the USA were even now Kickstarter ist the most widely used insurance service....
Even if only 1.5% die across all age groups accross the world that would still be 117.000.000 million people.
Now the population of people above the age of 65 is 700.000.000 here the mortality rate is higher. Let's be conservative at say 20% ( since there is also an increase between ages 65 and 75+) that would be 140.000.000 Deaths Now for the age group below age 65 and acording to stats from 2016 are 16% of the world population obese . Obese people just like older people have a higher risk of dying from covid than healthy people. 16% from 7. billion ( deducted the above 65% since they already have a higher chance) That would be 1.120.000.000 people that would have a conservative risk to die of covid of 20% = 224.000.000
total death toll = 140.000.000 + 224.000.000 + 88.500.000 (5.9bil healthy people with death chance of 1.5%) = 450.000.000
By no means are these number accurate but they show about what kind of dimension we talk about when we talk about letting it rip. Important to not is that the 5.9 billion people are not all healthy so in reality that number would be much higher.
The flu itself kill yearly 650.000 people globally ,.. so every one who says that covid19 is not dangerous is an idiot.
No, we should still attempt to fight it but doing so without lockdown/masks.
lockdown/masks cause misery which is should not be ignored.
> Without any counter measures such as masks or lockdowns the rate of infection would be significantly higher resulting - Tens of millions more dead
South Dakota never lockdown nor have mask mandate
Sweeden as well.
Florida mostly not lockdown
They are doing fine.
There are no significant difference between place that doing lockdown/mask compared to place that don't.
The way covid death is counted right now is highly misleading because it including everything remotely related to covid, for example death due to heart attack while being positive for covid is counted as covid death.
Death is not the sole metric, yes reducing death is a good thing but if it attempted by increasing misery due to lockdown then I don't want it.
> The connotation of discern is one of perceptive recognition of non-obvious underlying truth; the connotation of discriminate (since the 1860s) is quite the opposite, being more of an unjust imposition of difference where none is deserved.
(emphasis mine)
The key here is that discrimination is imposing different treatment of people "where none is deserved." When a pandemic is happening, you're not imposing "different" (and unjust) treatment upon foreign visitors - you're imposing necessary treatment as a precaution to help reduce the spread of the virus. This is a good thing that we want to do, not an unjust thing.