(Obviously vaccination is by far the preferable of those two options!)
(Obviously vaccination is by far the preferable of those two options!)
As of October, "The confirmed examples worldwide [of re-infections] could possibly be counted on your fingers" [0].
Immune memory cells, which are more potent than antibodies, persist for longer than 6 months [1].
We don't have data to support 2 years of immunity, but current evidence is pointing at it being long-lasting [2].
[0] https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/10/14/im... [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03207-w [2] https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1349898485756162048
It appears that Russia has a different distribution of coronavirus strains than the rest of Europe [0], but the strains in Russia are certainly found elsewhere. If hundreds of thousands of Russians were re-infected this would be observed elsewhere and documented.
The closest thing I can find to reporting on this matter is here [1]. The Siberian Times does not appear to be a reputable news source [2], and its claims do not match the magnitude of those above. It reports that Russia’s chief sanitary doctor Anna Popova said, "in Russia there was not a single confirmed case of coronavirus reinfection." Furthermore, the doctor on the other side of this disagreement has "heard about other cases [of re-infection] elsewhere in Russia from colleagues" (and claims to have been re-infected).
This is not "lots and lots (hundreds of thousands)"...
There is evidence of re-infections in the scientific literature, but they are exceedingly rare (tens of people worldwide). Long-term immunity will have to be measured, especially in light of new variants, but current evidence points in that direction.
[0] https://nextstrain.org/ncov/europe?transmissions=show
[1] https://siberiantimes.com/other/others/news/virology-profess...
Got tested for antibodies, the test did detect some but concluded I didn't have immunity anymore.