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also, sheer numbers.

If you have 10 people who don't smoke, exercise, eat healthy etc.. they're unlikely to get cancer. If you have 10 million, a lot of them will.

Same for random hallucinations. One in ten people? Not likely. One in ten million? Practically certain.

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Yeah but how do you explain a dozen+ kids all together, susceptible to group hallucinations to the extent of a being walking within arms length? That's a lot different than a dot in the corner of your eye or a group of witnesses mistaking something. Add in video interviews of the children by a Harvard psychologist, you get an incredibly compelling story that is very hard to come up with some simple answer

16% having personally seen something seems a bit high for your logic [0]. Granted, I don't have data for the "close encounters," so most of these will be distant or unclear, short observations with prosaic explanations.

I've never seen anything myself, but anecdotally, a group of sane family members did (a close encounter, at that) circa 1970, long before the secret military jet angle would have any credibility. Apparently more than half of people can share a similar personal or family anecdote.

[0] https://www.syracusenewtimes.com/ufos-aliens-and-abductions-...

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