From my perspective, the odds are fairly high that in a large group of people, two of them happen to have the same Smile account balance.
Here, a random person in the room announced their birthday, and the question is whether someone else in the room shares that birthday. It's a very different situation, where I'm guessing you need around a thousand people for it to be very likely that their birthdays coincide, compared to the twenty or so for the birthday paradox.
But, congrats on using up your luck for the next month or so. :)
You’re thinking of 17!” some of the hundreds of readers would be amazed by my accurate prediction