Being able to guarantee that they pass means having the expertise to fix any issues, and with a timeliness to be able to fix them and not block a release. That requires people around to support the target, with a higher burden than tier 2.
(Technically, it's even more than "not block a release" it's "not block any PR that may start failing on that target," since all tests must pass before a PR is landed.)
You could ask: why aren't the tier 2 tests just run before release? But then, if they are broken it may be a significant amount of work to fix, and could delay the release.
Maybe there is a middle-ground where tier 2 tests are run daily, but then you need a team of people just to fix those tests, because it will no longer be on the original PR author to make sure those tests pass before their PR is merged.