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Comment by bb123 | Hacker News Reader

Do you have a source for this? It’s my understanding that import/export of electricity to the continent happens today already and is important to regulating grid stability.

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You're right, it already happens and you can even see the current flows:

https://gridwatch.co.uk/

The boxes starting with "IC" are inter-connections to other countries.

3% solar and 4% wind right now. Seems a long way to go before these can get us through days like today.

< Second place now belongs to wind power, which supplied almost 21% of the country’s electrical demand in 2019

On the whole it seems like it doesn’t have that far to go

But looking at the whole is not nearly enough. I don't want my electricity turned off during winter.

Of course, but there has already been a massive change in a really short period, and maintaining the current rate of change is likely to make the UK CO2 emissions a non-issue over just the next decade or two.

I am not sure if maintaining the rate of change is possible. There was a lot of low hanging fruit that is being picked now, but the winter months are not easy to pick.

The current trend for declining cost/MWh for both green production of energy and battery storage of energy is why I am optimistic. It doesn’t look like we’ve reached the declining returns part of a logistic curve yet.

Are you confusing wind and solar? If anything I would guess wind production increases in winter.

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