Comment by AntiImperialist | Hacker News Reader

Comment by AntiImperialist | Hacker News Reader

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AntiImperialist

I doubt how successful this will turn out to be because of the following reasons:

- The old CentOS had a brand value, which Rocky Linux has to earn back all over again.

- The old Red Hat was nice to CentOS or at least wasn't particularly hostile. That does not mean IBM will be nice too.

- It may be too short a notice for current CentOS users to wait for Rocky Linux to come through. They may already move away to other alternatives like Debian or Ubuntu or Amazon Linux or whatever fits their use case.

- If because of some miracle, Rocky Linux turns out to be just as successful as CentOS, there is a chance that either Red Hat or a competitor will end up taking control of it too. Corporate sponsorship is too lucrative to decline. So, it will end up with the same fate as CentOS.

I don't see how it would be too short a notice for current CentOS users really. At least for majority of users running CentOS in their production systems and relying on a long-term support. It's not like they just go and trash their production setup the very moment its running distro lifespan is shortened. I'd expect the opposite actually, since you're looking for something well supported.

Agree, I'd imagine most of them are also still on 7, which the lifecycle didn't change for and goes to 2024 even if they just stay where they are.

CentOS had no "brand value" when it was new.

Red Hat was not nice to CentOS when it was new.

The "same fate" as CentOS would mean surviving for 16 years.

When CentOS came about, Debian and Ubuntu were not serious competitors. Neither were Arch or openSUSE. There was no Amazon Linux either.

Now, mature and much more popular alternatives have well established brand value.

> So, it will end up with the same fate as CentOS.

Same fate as CentOS, let me think... Can I replace a few system packages to convert it to a binary-compatible, patchable, community-supported distro, just differently branded? Okay, count me in.

Just like mysql had value, but much of the open source world has just moved on to MariaDB instead.

CentOS users by nature want to stay on their current systems as long as possible. Many would have still been on CentOS 7. I doubt any will have moved away from CentOS already.

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