Fuel duties help to offset the negative externalities to society of driving, namely CO2 emissions, pollution and congestion. With EVs tou don’t have emissions and pollutions and the health problems they bring so there’s no negatives to offset (ie fuel duty revenue will go down, but so will spending on health and environmental related issues)
There’s still the congestion any vehicle can cause and I think we’ll move to a much different form of vehicle taxation over the next 20 years, perhaps with more toll roads or even surge pricing style taxation for usage of roads.
Taxing will have to change and evolve either way.
Today it makes sense to incentivize the move to EVs. But this says nothing about what will happen when everyone is there and people no longer have the option of buying or using an ICE. Some years from now taxing EVs with some form of "road tax" (today included in the price of fuel) will be the low hanging fruit and the technological means may already be there. Your car will likely be able or even required to log and report the distance driven for taxing purposes.
If truly autonomous vehicles do catch on and incentivize moving away from private ownership, it will also have a huge impact on the way cars are taxed or how the taxes are passed on to the user.
It would work as "You've done 10,000 miles since your last MOT, you have to pay your £1k tax bill". Travel abroad and you could register the mileage when you leave and when you get back easily enough. Final bill on scrapping or on SORN.
That wouldn't allow the differential road pricing that tracking fans want, and wouldn't work in Ireland, but would work in GB right now.
Tire emissions are NOT a factor we need to be concerned with however :-) Tire manufacture, sure. From waste - most definitely. But emissions from driving are not something to worry about even with the billions of miles driven annually on tires.
https://www.bts.gov/content/estimated-national-average-vehic...
[1] Was a lot harder to find it again because someones running an SEO agitprop campaign to blame PM2.5 on tires instead of diesel exhaust. I had wade through GIS pages of trash websites to find it again.
The nice thing about EVs is those exhaust emissions are moved away from the tailpipe in populated areas to power generation facilities.
The efficiency of electric vehicles is almost 3x that of the gasoline cycle of drilling, transporting, distilling, transporting again, combusting then achieving almost 30% motion from the chemical energy of gas.
So because of this efficiency there’s just less emissions overall even though the emissions are away from population centres.
Then lastly, the emissions are consolidated in one place so capture and cleaning becomes viable.
EVs are not perfect but they are so much better than gasoline powered vehicles that if you can at all accomodate the switch, then it would be great to consider it.
...and yet from today's headlines:
British coal plants fired up to meet temporary electricity shortfall. Remaining UK coal plants, including Drax, supply 6% of grid’s electricity to cover power supply drop and colder weather
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/nov/26/british-coa...
Also note:
"renewable electricity was in relatively short supply in western Europe too, meaning the UK would need to keep running its coal plants while exporting power to France and to the Netherlands via cable interconnectors"
https://www.motorbiscuit.com/are-electric-cars-worse-for-the...
Spoiler alert: EV pollutes less than ICE
I'm not wholly informed here, but just by using common sense, I can only imagine we're talking fractions of a percent for brake pad and tyre pollution, so I wouldn't pick that hill to die on personally.
Also, I'll take the emissions from tires and brake pads over those from an engine for sure.
You don't have them at the tailpipe, which I guess is really the key thing because it means a reduction in asthma and deaths due to PM in habited areas.
You do still have emissions, they're just emitted away from where humans live. It's a great improvement but not a complete solution.
Shifting non-essential travel to an hour earlier or later in the day will have a hugely beneficial impact in unclogging many cities.
If anything we need to tax the hell out of fossil fuel to break even with its actual costs.
1. https://www.eesi.org/papers/view/fact-sheet-fossil-fuel-subs...
2. https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2019-10-21/oil-com...