Every drought means conflict, they mean war, refugees and instability. Sure, the first world will be shielded from the worst for some time, but this isn't a Hollywood movie, the pressure will keep increasing every year exposing every flaw in the system.
Corona has shown that our world does not deal well with pressure and you can't make a vaccine for food insecurity.
Nth order effects will make it your problem pretty quickly.
Many are blind to exponentially growing phenomena.
One good example is that a several degree increase can melt the Siberian ice and release methane stores equivalent to 100 years of maximal human CO2 footprint. That's already a massive nth order effect.
Sometimes problems are not that simple.
I’m pretty sure he would also agree with the estimate for Siberian methane stores. He would just be careful with predicting what happens when they get released.
The average temperature increase can have different effects and that is one of the lines of his argument.
If you do not care about the issue and don’t want to hear opposing opinion then do not leave a comment.
Although the temp increase might happen during the colder times of the day so the wet bulb might never reach the deadly quantities.
This is just the beginning. It will get far worse and then worse again, thanks to people denying it and saying we might think about maybe reducing our emissions gradually next decade sometime..
In South Australia they're talking about taxing EVs because they don't get to tax their owners by way of the fuel excise. There's zero regard for pollution, it doesn't even have a monetary value - high polluters aren't taxed at all, so they're taxing the solution not the pollution instead. (Contrast Norway).
This is why I said it's going to get far far worse. There's so many thick skins to get through, blocking and impeding what needed to be immediate action decades ago and still isn't.
Observing science has been part of the HN culture as long as I've been here.
At any rate, the question isn't so much - were extreme bad weather events bad before as well, more - are they getting worse and/or more frequent?
This year has the most named storms on record and we still have 3 weeks left.
The US poverty rate went down during the period. So it wasn't a lack of welfare protection, it was just a (likely bad) implementation choice, paying individuals instead of paying businesses to keep them on payroll.
The lack of response since that expired in July fits your description though.
The big advantage of this approach (in addition to the obvious advantages for the workers) is that companies don't lose the organizational knowledge held by the workers: With whom to speak in case machine X fails, whom to approach in customer company Y for a new deal etc.).
I'll admit it made me lose interest in reading much further because I don't trust you to have used the other 42 citations in good faith.
Anyway, that was just meant as constructive criticism. Just something to keep in mind in your writing in the future.
If it's just a couple here or there, there are miscounts for sure. But with news report after news report from local stations, I think the issue might be enough to be statically significant, or at least warrant investigation and not outright dismissal.
Furthermore, Sweeden seems to be doing alright as far as fatality numbers across their population for the year, even though their covid orders were much more limited:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/525353/sweden-number-of-...
> because I don't trust you to have used the other 42 citations in good faith.
We're getting into this really interesting era where we're attacking people's views for their sources .. even though there has been obvious bias in all mainstream reporting for over a decade. If you're not willing to entertain viewpoints you don't agree with, that's on you, not on me.
Fortunately we're getting into this really interesting era where I don't have to waste my time with their bullshit, nor with yours. Cheers.
That's on you, not anyone else.
I think a majority of people stopped giving a shit in June[1]. The government's continued lockdown policies are 100% at fault for continued economic distress.
That could change pretty fast when hospitals have to start sending seriously ill home to die. That would still only directly affect a small minority, but the same people who feel safer than they should now would then start feeling more in danger than they should. There's a certain irony in how a lot of people think that the rules are unnecessary exactly because they do work.