How long before these jobs outsourced to lower cost countries?
People who are basically commodity steering wheel holders will get outsourced to low cost countries and then to AI. People who's job requires thinking don't have much to worry about.
Most forklift drivers have duties that include a non-trivial amount of getting off the lift and doing some amount of moving things and a good amount of planning (often specific to the business situation that day) as to where stuff will go. Same goes for someone operating a front end loader or excavator. Anyone can hold a steering wheel. The reason they're not paid min-wage like delivery drivers is because they're paid to think and plan ahead. It's really hard to outsource that kind of stuff in a manner that is actually cheaper in the long term. I suspect that just like in IT, the companies that successfully outsource will be the big ones that heavily invest in profit to the point where any given person is just following process, not really thinking and planning (think mines, major manufacturing operations, large food distributors, some LTL freight, Walmart, etc).
Think again.. white-collar jobs will erode as AI becomes more capable / integrated into business workflows. Personally, I'm working on projects that basically capture the domain knowledge and experience of analysts and engineers, packaging it into ML models.
I think a lot of countries and/or trade unions have that pretty regulated, so it would be interesting to see how someone sitting in a far-off country would get the necessary permissions.
And I use "interesting" in the Chinese proverb sense, as I would fear that a bit of lag or network outages would just Klaus[1] everything up.