Or after memorial day?
Or after the fourth of july?
Or after schools reopened (Georgia has been open for a month, Europe for MONTHS)?
There is one, and only one, obvious trend: These predictions are completely wrong and the virus is no where near the threat we make it out to be.
As in: If you got 10k new cases in mid/late June, it's not "because" 10k people got infected at one event in early June, but because 10k ppl got infected in early June from 5k people who got infected in late July from ~3k people who got infected in early July from ~1k people who get infected in late May from one event.
Note: Specific numbers pulled out of my ass as an easy way to convey the idea.
- spreader lacks mask
- infectee lacks mask
- indoors
- spreader speaks
- length of time spreader and infectee spend in contact
The speaking part is a wash -- plenty of speaking at both protests and spring break. The rest of them all are chiefly problems with spring break, chiefly because people frequently socialize indoors as they did at Sturgis.
Excess all-cause mortality in 2020 vs. previous years. (Note: data from recent weeks is incomplete.)