They won’t though because the Chinese Communist Party is fucking scary and doesn’t take to being commented on.
All those little plastic widgets and cheap clothes we import are paying for this navy.
The Made In China 2025 plan focuses on pharmaceutical, automotive, aerospace, semiconductor, IT and robotics manufacturing. The goal is to have a state of the art position in all those fields by 2025.
Aircraft development is hard. Many states have tried sponsoring programs and they have mostly been duds, like Japan and Russia; even successful ones, like Canada's Bombardier and Brazil's Embraer, have or were about to sell to the Boeing-Airbus duopoly because the costs of additional aircraft development are far too high now. Pretty much every commercial aircraft program has come in late and over budget in recent years. And the MAX8 situation has made things worse for everybody involved because rather than take peer agencies' word for it, everyone is going to want to run their own stringent tests now.
https://www.worlddata.info/iq-by-country.php
China is also pursuing eugenic strategies with the one-child policy, and controlled migration into cities (which encourages assortative mating). The Fertility Rate of 1.6 is reasonable.
By contrast many Western countries are pursuing dysgenic strategies through the provision of mass-welfare, and the intake of migrants from lower-IQ countries.
China just needs to sit back for 30-50 years and wait for these trends to play out, if it has the patience. We're already seeing the first reports of IQ declines:
https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/iq-rates-are-dropping-...
If not using eugenic strategies means loosing some war, I think I would opt for defeat and welcome our new Chinese overlords.
Let’s go through it piece by piece:
1. Doesn’t define how IQ was measured in each country
2. Doesn’t state when for each country
3. Doesn’t define how the average was calculated
4. Doesn’t provide any data on rate of change of IQ - this is important, for those not aware IQ tests are reframed every few years to keep most people on the 85-115 range. The revision trend is always upwards so far - it’s arguable that we’re getting smarter because of flaws in IQ as a concept but we’re certainly becoming more capable in the modern world which is not controversial
6. China’s one-child policy formally ended 5 years ago after many years of gradual reductions in restrictions
7. China is actively trying to walk back the damage of its 1 child policies and is incentivising married couples to have more than 1 child (and somewhat confusingly, has actually been doing this since before the end of the 1 child policy)
8. No country anywhere is pursuing dysgenic strategy
9. Welfare - help given to people who need it. I am intrigued what you actually mean here, are you suggesting we should let people die who can Otherwise be saved by provision of assistance?
10. Intake of migrants from “lower iq” countries - are these doctors and engineers on Visas or asylum seekers and refugees from areas rendered uninhabitable by war, climate or lawlessness?It’s not secret but Netflix and Amazon aren’t exactly rushing to layout what the future will look like when the Chinese achieve these goals.
The UK did a lot of that in the 1950s through the 1980s, and it resulted in "lemon socialism" - the government had all the declining industries. Coal, steel, and railroads, mostly.
Japan did better, with MITI telling industry what to do, and advanced the country enormously. Until the 1989 bubble collapse and real estate crash, from which Japan never fully recovered.
Local sources like the NCHRD had the number of concentration camp inmates at 2 to 3 million already back in 2018. Of course it is possible that most have starved since or have become organ donors, so numbers are hard to pin down.
[1] https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/muslims-...
But it is cultural genocide with widespread, systemic rape, torture and murder.
Also it is questionable about whether they are free to leave the Xinjiang area.
That's a big word do you have any proof other than military thinktanks rehashing the same old nonsense?
What's a good estimate on how many have been tortured, raped and murdered? (To use your words)
When the US still has more people in prison predominantly of one race (not per capita either, gross numbers) it's perhaps a good time to talk about the systemic imprisonment of black people that no one seems to flinch about.
For all the talk of Uyghurs literally no Western country is taking them in, do you see the UK or US lining up to take in a million Muslim separatists?
It's yellow peril all over again. Why is the UN human rights commissioner repeatedly refusing to visit the region despite getting numerous requests? Why are Muslim Western allies visiting and finding nothing extreme that matches the constant media bombardment we receive in the West? Our Western aligned Muslim allies are literally signing multicountry letters to the UNHRC saying that it's all a media beatup and yet no one here really wants to talk about that.
Are we really going to base all this on evidence from the people that insisted Saddam had weapons of Mass Destruction and that justified a 20 year war that resulted in millions of deaths mostly civilian? Do you honestly trust them this time aroundor is it _different_ this time?
https://medium.com/@jerry_grey2002/abc-four-corners-tell-the... Here's a solid read from an Australian policeman who cycled through Xinjiang province, nothing he sees lines up with the rhetoric you'll find from internet commentators who have never been to China.
It’s probably closer to the truth to imagine a world with no Western intellectual property or manufacturing.
That will mean “interesting” changes.
For example, what would it mean if most western pharmaceutical companies fail and access to cutting edge medicine was only available through China?
What power would that give the CCP and what would they do with that considering their current ambition?
Look at their expanding South American fishing fleet and naval action in the South China Sea for clues.
That said, maybe we're due for an Escape from Honk Kong.
They have already successfully infiltrated most international and political organisations as well as the international press to ensure there is no consensual united stand taken against them.
They can successfully carry out mass sterilisation and genocide campaigns with little or no blow-back from anyone.
What amazes me is how few recognise the extraordinary threat they pose to the world today.
WestWorld (season 3) comes to mind but doesn't have the communist structure; but any future dystopia would likely see the party replaced by algorithms leaving just the inner circle and the proles.
A lot of the aesthetics looked like they are meant to portray the Nazis, but the empire lacks (to my knowledge, I'm not really into it) the "we must exterminate the undesirables" part and feels much closer like an authoritarian power that branches out and suppresses dissent, classical empire stuff, but without the crazy. That sounds about right for the CCP.
To quote William Gibson “the future is already here it’s just not well diffused yet”.
So what will our world really look like if we extrapolate from now?
I’ll bet it’s less neon and flying cars and more boarded up retail shops and government sponsored troll farms.
The CCP isn’t building this navy for fun.
Does anything China’s done recently make you think they lack ambition?
Just look at the extent of their fishing operations.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jul/27/chinese-...
No technological advancement? Has the CCP indicated that they'd prefer a stand still on that front?
I'm sure the future will be different as is expected when a large power claims its place. Whether the losses will be in the West or primarily in the Third World will be a major question. So far, the Chinese seem not too much into large scale empire building, but primarily exercising control over "their backyard", similar to Russia in Ukraine etc and the US in Latin America. But that might change, of course, if they ever become the most powerful nation with a similar margin over the rest as the US has enjoyed for the last decades.