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Comment by rbanffy | Hacker News Reader

SSTOs have the advantage of enormously simplified operation - no staging, no vehicle assembly building, no stage mating, just land, fix whatever is broken, refuel and launch. If the payload fraction is smaller than that of a multistage rocket, it can compensate with cheaper logistics on the ground and less time between launches.

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SSTOs trade-off is very unfavorable, which is why no one is seriously considering one anymore, for Earth's gravity well. In order to avoid solving the relative simple task of efficient stage mating and assembly, an engineering challenge you have to solve once per launch system and can amortize over the whole life of the system, you end up paying the cost of hauling into orbit a huge amount of unnecessary mass, every single launch. That's a very expensive trade-off.

To take the fanboy's pride as an example, how much time is spent taking a Falcon first stage from landing to re-launch? Days? Weeks? Months? If you are expecting to use your launch infrastructure the same way we use a large commercial airliner then this isn't good enough.

An SSTO could launch, orbit, return, refuel, and re-launch in the same day. For high-value cargo where the mass it not too much (c.f. humans) this might actually make sense.

The cost/benefit formula you're proposing works out most in SSTO's favor if you literally have just one one launch vehicle, but you're using it constantly. If you're allowed to have more than one launch vehicle, though, and can interleave their usage, then that gives you a lot more options for how to maintain throughput while controlling costs. Oftentimes the optimal solution to a multivariate problem ends up looking decidedly sub-optimal when you focus on just one variable at a time.

Also, YAGNI. Right now, it's not certain that we will ever see a time when trips to space are as commonplace as commercial flights. It's far enough off that, even if we take for the sake of argument that it does eventually happen, there's no particular reason to believe that the vehicles we use to do it will be chemical rockets.

> there's no particular reason to believe that the vehicles we use to do it will be chemical rockets.

That too. If we get sci-fi grade engines, anything can be SSTO.

It take 2 to 3 days to reach the ISS from the ground. Getting to orbit is only 8min of that. The rest is a slow approach of the station.

If you want to deliver cargo or people to a specific orbit and a specific place, say the ISS, you're not gonna be able to turnover a SSTO in a day. Even a week might not be enough for a quick return trip to and from the ISS. All this time your expensive ground to orbit capacity is idle.

A first stage can launch a second stage into orbit and return to launch site in less than 15min. How fast you can turn it around for relaunch is an engineering challenge, but there's no fundamental reason you couldn't do it in a day or even in an hour.

Note that two day approaches are not a real requirement, it's a choice that is made for operational flexibility. On Gemini 11 all the way back in 1966 NASA demonstrated docking a mere 94 minutes after launch (essentially one orbit). However, the launch window for that flight was two seconds, which is ... not ideal. By planning for a several day approach you give yourself a several hour launch window, which is much more workable.

There is another reason for the leisurely approach for manned spacecraft. Studies have shown that something like 75% of spacefarers suffer from Space Acclimatization Sickness, generally lasting 1-3 days before your body gets used to zero-gee and you are fine. A leisurely approach lets an astronaut deal with that phase NOT in the shared space station that spends decades in outer space, but in the capsule which will be coming back down in a few months.

SAS is a major limitation on space tourism, incidentally. You'll notice that there are very few plans between 15 minute suborbital hops and two weeks in space: that's because if even trained, physically fit astronauts take 1-3 days to adapt to space, no one is sure what a person who is not as trained will do, and if the word of mouth is "I went into space for three days and felt sick the entire time" that's not a good customer experience.

I guess that by the time we get to serious space tourism, we'll have a rotating station with centrifugal gravity.

But then you can no longer look out the window without puking.

For that you take the elevator to the observatory.

SpaceX claims Starship/Superheavy will be able to launch the first stage thirty times a day and second stage three times a day. I guess we'll see how that works out.

Making those things easier is a lot simpler than making SSTO work.

We thought that reusing the shuttle would be easy and that relanding boosters would be impossible and, yet, we were wrong both times.

Some things are impossible until they aren't.

No these are fundamentally different. SSTOs make things expensive because the rocket equation is unforgiving: every kilogram you haul into orbit needs fuel and propellant, which in turn makes the rocket bigger and heavier, which in turns requires more fuel and propellant, which in turns... So, you don't want to bring up anything unnecessary, like taking your first stage into orbit SSTO style.

Landing boosters is an incredible engineering feat. The rocket equation is just derived from the laws of physics, it's not something you can change with great engineering.

If the rocket equation is such an unforgiving bitch then why are you only using two stages to get to orbit? By your own logic you should be using four or five or even ten stages to get to orbit because otherwise you are hauling up too much unnecessary mass on each flight. What makes two such a magic number in this case? Is it perhaps possible that there are in fact real-world tradeoffs between efficiencies in the rocket equation and engineering parameters and that sometimes advances in technique or materials shifts the optimum point?

The more stages, the less favorable your ratio fuel+propellant / dry mass. When you add stages, you add engines, tanks, systems... that you then have to haul up to the next stage, making your lower stages heavier. Rocket equation again.

Sure it's possible that if you had super lightweight material for all the dry mass, 3 stages would make more sense.

You're right, there is a "real-world tradeoffs between efficiencies in the rocket equation and engineering parameters". This trade-off is unfavorable to SSTOs.

It's because the rocket equation really bites when you get far out at extreme mass ratios, as in an SSTO. Very small changes in mass of systems have a large effect on cargo, and perhaps keep you from even getting to orbit at all.

Viewed another way: if you had an SSTO, you could radically increase its payload to orbit by adding a really dumb first stage. Even a small delta-V from that stage would make the job of the "SSTO" part much easier. And SpaceX has shown that such a first stage can be straightforwardly made reusable, especially if the delta-V allows return to launch site recovery. This basically destroyed any remaining argument for SSTO.

The benefit from going from 2 to 3 stages is much less.

It typically takes two to get the third stage up there, and only the third stage stays in orbit. Alternative shuttle designs, BFR and New Glenn start at two but you wouldn't want to carry around all that extra weight on a second stage unless you had a very specific mission set (launch the ISS in a couple of missions or have a stage that goes and lands on Mars). Not optimized for typical payloads.

IIRC, a lunar probe launched a couple years back on a 5-stage solid rocket. That works well because, essentially, the engine is the fuel.

I didn't say it'd be easy, but that's why people continue developing new materials and engines. There is a point where it becomes practical.

Technically, making those things easier also makes SSTOs work since optimized multi stage orbits let us get to the moon where SSTOs are the default option to get off of the lunar surface. In a sense SSTOs are part of the current earth to moonbase to Mars strategy.

SSTO on the Moon or Mars is a lot easier.

And also already accomplished on the moon. The Apollo lunar module was SSTO during takeoff from the lunar surface.

And make a ton of sense since there be zero to none surface support for relaunching.

You'd probably still need to carry propellants, but yes, an Earth-capable SSTO should be able to hop around a lot on the Moon before needing to refuel.

Land-anywhere and launch-anywhere are also very attractive features for places with sparse support.

I wonder if SpaceX could build a demonstration landing pad, ferry some liquid methane and liquid oxygen to, say, Guam (which is kind of part of the US, making things a bit easier) and do a suborbital hop across the globe with the starship alone without the booster, refuel, and fly back to Florida.

Or, a second stage of a two stage earth-to LEO launcher. There's no reason to make the earth-to-orbit part single stage, just because reuse in space of that upper stage would be SSTO.

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