Not sure why you’re being downvoted, but if we go through another wave this winter only losing one-third does seem optimistic.

Every time I walk around my neighborhood (Williamsburg) I notice another newly shuttered storefront. Many places I loved are sadly gone and never coming back. The building my studio space I keep to work out of is in is filling up with vacancies and eviction notices — I go in occasionally to grab mail and water plants, but I don’t intend on renewing my lease on it this fall.

I’m generally ride or die NYC, but after 5 months of quarantine the idea of staying inside through the winter of 2020-2021 is sounding pretty bleak. It’s the first time in 13 years I’ve considered leaving temporarily. This really is just the beginning.

I agree that it's going to get worse. There is a mass exodus out of NYC. I live in northern NJ and lots of my town commutes to NYC. Anecdotally, most of the people I know who worked in NYC are not going back anytime soon. There are bidding wars for smallish houses where a 350k house gets 20 bids and goes for 10% over asking price. People are trying to get out of the city by stay close to at least see how things shake out. One neighbor is talking of moving to a low cost state in the middle of the country as their NYC office is not reopening, but they are all working remotely. Salary arbitrage.