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> I think it's easy: jobs as scientists in the U.S. suck relative to other jobs. Consider that firefighters or cops get paid reasonably well; effectively can't be fired after a short probationary period unless they do something incredibly egregious because they're protected by unions; have jobs that demand physical activity, so they aren't just sitting in front of a screen all day; and, in the case of firefighters, have a level of social prestige that means (male) firefighters are almost universally admired by women.

But do you think the "vast majority of kids" take that as their main reason? Do you think they know the labor market dynamics? That the job is incredibly secure? Not so mentally demanding? Requires only a two-year degree?

I think that kids in majority think mostly about the act of being a police officer, rather than the auxiliary benefits of being one (financial security being one). Perhaps they are drawn by the power, the apparent admiration, or some desire to "serve his/her country."

But do you think the "vast majority of kids" take that as their main reason?

No, but many adults take it as their main reason, which leads to more potential "role-models" becoming police officers/fire fighters, which leads to more kids wanting to be like these particular role models. Example: kid grows up admiring his uncle the fireman, who has nice things (always employed) and makes a difference in his community. His uncle might have simply taken the job because of the benefits mentioned in the grandparent post.

Kids don't necessarily need to know the labor benefits of a job, but (I think) they know the types of people that take these jobs, and want to be like them. Of course, it doesn't mean that they'll actually become firemen, but we're talking about the "what do you want to be when you grow up" question, not necessarily what they end up doing.

> apparent admiration

This. Kids don't know what power is. Desire to serve the country is not going to play a role here either. It's the cultural programming targeting kids: "oh, cool, look, a firetruck!" Same with sports. It's somewhat ironic that many blue-collar jobs are probably more glorified in the mainland U.S. than they are in former Soviet countries. Though this illusion disappears as soon as you realize that jobs where the majority of the workforce are immigrants immediately lose the "cool" status.

It may depend on the area, but becoming a firefighter is unbelievably difficult these days. The competition is very intense.

My brother spent close to ten years applying to every firefighting job he could find. He has a four-year degree, a diploma from fire-fighting school, years of experience as a private firefighter on a military base and as an EMT, and he's a competitive bodybuilder. He finally gave up this year and went back to school to get his teaching certificate.

Very, very true. A friend of mine is considering the military, largely so he gets more experience and a better shot at a firefighting job.

> I think it's easy: jobs as scientists in the U.S. suck relative to other jobs.

Hmmm... I'm making 6 figures as an engineer. I really doubt my brother the heavy equipment operator can say the same.

I don't know about heavy equipment operators, but I know a welder without any sort of college education who easily clears 6 figures a year. If you know how to weld under water you can apparently make even more.

Scientist != engineer; the parent to whom your replying is just talking about scientists as is the mostly good essay he links to (the author is quite wrong about this state of affairs "just happening", but maybe he wasn't looking at the situation in the '80s when the NSF (most particularly) started the big campaign for cheap scientific labor).