>I'll take it a step further and ask, do adages actually contain any signal at all? If you have a saying "try try again" and another saying "don't bust your head against a brick wall" which one wins? When?
Yes, they do and there are certain factors you need to consider before saying they don't contain any signal.
Some factors are:
1. What is it really trying to say?
In your example, try and try again does NOT mean try and try the SAME thing again. It just tells you WHAT to do and not how to do it. I don't remember a single invention being invented on the first attempt egs the light bulb.
On the other hand, don't break your head against a brick wall is usually used in the context of trying to change someone else. This adage is a derivative of the observation that human beings don't change unless they want to, which is the absolute truth. This adage is a corollary or a derivative based on that absolute truth.
2. Has it stood the test of time?
I cannot find a source for this particular adage but it would be safe to say that it has stood the test of time.
3. Who said it and in what context?
This ties in well with the second example of my first point.
I could come up with a pithy saying which could be true in a very specific context. This does not make it false it just makes it irrelevant to your context.
So yes, they do contain signals you just need to know how to apply them.
>Who says writing is in the former camp? Prove it.
As far as writing goes, you can certainly improve leaps and bounds by writing more. You write some, get feedback on your work, improvise, rinse and repeat. This is certainly true. Why you may ask? Just consider the number of authors[1] whose first language is not English but they write in English. They certainly did not start off by being great English writers, Ayn Rand being the most prolific of them which HN crowd would be familiar with.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_exophonic_writers