Are you asserting that case count in the US would be the exact same without Shelter in place?
Are you asserting that case count in the US would be the exact same without Shelter in place?
So, yes we might be saving lives, but that is a small fraction of the total rates. Aka, we might be changing the death rate from 2% to 1.8%..
But, since we are mostly talking about the aged and infirm, its a herd culling. So you might be giving .2% another year or two to live until they die from other causes.
Which is why, there is a persistent bit of pessimism being heard from certain parts of the research community warning that this might be more like the flu than we are willing to admit. AKA, its possibly going to be with us for a long time. We have spent the last 100 years working on flu vaccines and treatments and lowered the fatality rate by maybe 90%. That 60k deaths a year in the US are with large parts of the population being vaccinated, and piles of treatment options.