It’s a nice theory but the the Touch Bar CPU specs are pretty well known at this point - if Apple had wanted to do this they would have designed the system differently.
Supporting a different ISA on the same OS/Runtime is relatively “easy” in 2020 and doesn’t need such a sophisticated strategy - for 99 percent of developers this is going to be a one click recompile to different build target in their IDE. Push new binaries to App Store and done.
By “easy” I mean relative to how ISA transitions have been managed in past. Apple are so big now that runtime mechanisms for x86 code, such as Rosetta during the PowerPC to x86 migration or hardware emulation on the 68k etc, just aren’t necessary this time around IMO. People will recompile. For sure we will lose some software that is too old to be recompiled by long lost authors, but I don’t think Apple cares. They already just killed 32bit app support with similar consequences.
Remember today that your “arm” iOS apps work just fine in your x86-based iOS simulator in Xcode on an intel Mac, so access to actual ARM hardware isn’t a significant barrier at all to development for most.