Is the consensus really that covid19 is gone? like, really? we are way way below herd immunity and Rt is still around 1.0 in most states, even before the reopening and protests start showing.
What am I missing?
Many people forgot when the news cycle told them to forget.
I think it's important to note that one group of protesters is still taking SARS-CoV-2 more seriously than another group of protesters[0].
I have heard, and agree wholeheartedly, with a view that this has never been about lives vs. economy, because worsening economic conditions have a predictable cost in human lives. It's actually a tradeoff between lives lost to covid and lives lost to losing health insurance, cancelled medical procedures, suicide, etc. And it is not clear to me at all that either choice will clearly result in fewer deaths.
In which case?
Floyd protesters: https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/06/health/pandemic-protesters-co...
In the case with the Floyd protesters, it's more abstract, but the same sentiment is there. I'd have to go back through my feed to find the specific examples of people explicitly saying they are okay with the possibility of dying from coronavirus.
Back-to-workers: https://www.texastribune.org/2020/03/23/texas-lt-gov-dan-pat...
> "No one reached out to me and said, 'As a senior citizen, are you willing to take a chance on your survival in exchange for keeping the America that all America loves for your children and grandchildren?' And if that's the exchange, I'm all in," he said. "And that doesn't make me noble or brave or anything like that.
> "I just think there are lots of grandparents out there in this country like me ... that what we all care about and what we all love more than anything are those children," he added. "And I want to, you know, live smart and see through this, but I don't want to see the whole country to be sacrificed, and that's what I see."
IMO once policy makers start picking and choosing preferred causes which are more worthy than the lockdown, then the lockdown is effectively over.
I am hopeful that we won’t see a large spike in cases in the coming weeks, and perhaps this can serve as a datapoint that we can continue opening up more broadly.
In the meantime we have massive groups in close proximity, often chanting/yelling for long periods of time which the data indicates is a very high risk environment. A homemade mask is not going to provide reliable protection while protesting for hours with thousands of people. Stop once to sip a bottle of water and that barrier is compromised.
If asymptomatic spread of a deadly pathogen leads to the conclusion that we must be social distancing, then mass protests are deadly, and not just to the protestors themselves. Likewise, if it’s OK for people to mass protest, then it’s OK for people to go to church, for example.
Picking and choosing which social or political topics are deemed worthy of mass gatherings to me is unconscionable.
[1] - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-co...