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> I'll be in the pub by the end of the year.

You may be in a pub by the end of the year, but you won't be in a pub at the end of the year, because at that point we'll locked down in the midst of a second wave of coronavirus, with some pent up seasonal flu thrown in for good measure.

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Yeah, I reckon that's fairly probable (the lockdown - not the second wave, I think that's inevitable, where the case numbers sit after that is yet to be seen though).

I figure we have N waves, with herd immunity building during the process, and an eventual vaccine which may or may not need to be applied across the whole population by that point.

And if immunity isn’t long lasting?

And how many people have to die to reach it?

Perhaps seasonal lockdowns will be the new solution to reducing nhs funding while not becoming overrun by flu cases in the winter.

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