The problem everyone has getting their mind around debt collection is that they focus on the after-the-fact situation, instead of the whole picture. If companies cannot collect on debt, they will be less willing to extend credit. When you "help" one person who can't pay their debt, you're hurting several people in the future who won't be extended credit.
Student loans are a good illustration of this. People clamor to make student loans dischargeable in bankruptcy--citing examples of people with hundreds of thousands of dollars in crippling debt. But the median American doesn't have any student debt, and the median debt for people who do is just $30,000. Now as a practical matter, student loan forgiveness would just impact taxpayers, since almost all student debt is owed to the federal government. But if it was a normal debt market, making student loans--which are offered without any security--dischargeable in bankruptcy would cause student loans to dry up for everyone, even the vast majority of people who take on modest, manageable debt.
Let's take your example of student loans. We can both agree that making student loans dischargeable in bankruptcy and not owed to the government would cause the student loan market to contract. What if you think that this kind of debt, being non-asset backed, is not just unethical but unsustainable inside a functioning free market? What if you think that many institutions have made use of debt inflation to bloat their bureaucracies, facilities and other non-academic investments via a bubble that can and should pop? What if an alternative financial product should exist that forced institutions to put skin in the game towards the permanent economic future of the students that they are ostensibly responsible for and selling a product towards advancing?
I think that we need to remember that debt is primarily a mechanism for moving around value, and that the intrinsic value (liquidity) that it provides is distinctly marginal. We as a society in America should question whether it is a robust long term strategy for the country's economic future to even allow for the option of selling an education with debt-based financing without some kind of a positive outcome guarantee. Otherwise, the incentives are almost guaranteed to result in bad actors exploiting the disenfranchised. Outside of the moral hazard here, the more unavoidable hazard is the market hazard of overleveraging assets whose intrinsic value cannot support the bonds they back, causing an unnecessary macroeconomic financial shock that could be avoided with foresight.
The only reason they change that much is due to the ability of loans.
If there's anything I've noticed about higher education after working in/with it, its that they're constantly behind the curve in just about everything that's not sports/research related.
I would be very scared of having a second-rate experience due to a college (and professors) not being prepared for this to the point I would sit a year out and crank out gen-eds at home in already established online programs.
Take this all with a grain of salt... Maybe I'm paranoid, but I just don't see schools being ready for this and having a solid experience ready for new students by fall unless they've already practiced remote learning/class programs.
Hopefully at the end of all this we realize that community colleges can teach the majority of a 4yr degree and even have labs already set up.
To the original lender, 5% of the defaulted debt generally just covers the cost of writing off the debt and maybe a bit more. It does not move the needle at all for loan availability.
No-dischargeable private loans are such a small portion of the problem that they are effectively irrelevant.
But intentionally trying to ensure that poor people are never given loans is not usually the arguments that I hear, surrounding student debt.
A bankruptcy would simply automatically put all your assets up for a same-day auction. Any unlisted items would be auctioned as a lump, for anyone willing to research what you actually owned to play 'Storage Wars' with. Anyone could bid on those assets (including your friends buying your stuff to give back to you). All proceeds of auction would be claimable by anyone you owed a debt to in a fully automated manner.
In such a world, any time you woke up in the morning and decided the auction value of your assets was below your debts, you could text the number, re-buy things you really cared about for probably cents on the dollar (nobody wants your dirty laundry), and carry on your day worry free.
It seems quite fitting here that Goodheart’s Law came from an economist.
Not necessarily.
Consider savings, for example.
Are high savings good for an individual? Well, yes, of course, they are! But every dollar saved is a dollar not spent. If everyone starts saving as much money as they can, this will damage the economy, lower spending, and will make everyone poorer (it's difficult to save money when your income derives from other people spending it.)
Debt is the opposite of savings in this respect. If you go into debt, and spend, it's good for me, as the person deriving income from your spending. Vice versa, if I go ahead, and spend that money, it will eventually be good for you, as your income is another person's expenses.
Does this mean that we should all max out our credit cards tomorrow? Well, obviously not... Just like we should not all become wealth-hoarding Tolkienesque dragons.
It's not clear where exactly the optimal point on the savings-spending axis lies. It certainly lies on different points for different people, depending on your personal wealth, skills, social class, luck, or your personal value system, etc. Some people benefit a lot from a healthy economy. They obviously want everyone else to spend more. Some people benefit very little from a healthy economy. They obviously want to spend less.
It's not a trivial problem to solve. I personally think there are some kinds of debt that are way worse than other kinds of debt. High-interest debt is problematic. High-burden debt (Like mortgages) is also problematic. Debt that inflates asset prices (Like universal student loans) - also problematic. Medium-low interest, medium burden debt (Like most car payments)? It seems less problematic to me.
There's actually a good startup opportunity here. Many of these debt collectors are unethical. You could buy these bad debts for pennies on the dollar, settle them for a very modest margin, and help the poor people fix their credit without filing for bankruptcy.
There are different levels of debt collection. The first level is generally done by the guarantor. Someone falls behind on a bill, service is shut off, and the company tries to get the consumer to pay the bill. The next level is when a company sends the bill to an outside collection agency to attempt to collect on it. The collection agency will get some commission on that if they manage to collect. The debt is maybe 6-12 months old at this time. If the first agency fails, sometimes it will get sent to a second or third agency to see if they have more luck. At some point in time the company will decide that the debt is unlikely to be collected and they will write it off. It’s at this point that debt may get sold. The debt is likely years old at this point. The company that buys it will buy for pennies on the dollar (it’s like any market, sometimes it’s more, sometimes it’s less). They are then the owner of the debt and any money they collect they get to keep. They’re able to settle for much lower amounts. If you have a $1000 debt that was bought for $50, you can settle for $250 and still make a profit. The consumer is able to clear the debt from their credit report for a fraction of what they owed (though it still shows they paid it to a collection agency and that still hurts their credit, but not as much as an unpaid debt).
Long answer to your question, but yes there can be good money in it, and there is probably an opportunity here to do some good.