As far as I'm concerned the only number that matters is the real world mean distance between failure/incident.
The response I usually get when I talk about is "everybody thinks they're better than average, so changes are equally good you're not", but that too is too reductive. Loads of people drive drunk, while I know that I don't. That alone significantly stacks the odds in my favor for the likelihood that I'm correct in thinking I'm above the average.