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Comment by MR4D | Hacker News Reader

> The current state of both cities has nothing to do with what they did or didn't.

I disagree.

Specifically, Deblasio took forever to close the schools. I don’t live in NYC, and I remember when before they closed the schools wondering why they hadn’t done it yet.

So some actions matter more than most.

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There is some evidence schools, and young children, are not spreading the disease. In SG, which did extensive contact tracing early on, there were no clusters associated with schools (apart from one where the cluster was in staff who had minimal contact with students). The early super spreader event from an SG conference resulted in a Covid-19 positive child, and not one case was attributed to this person. Anecdotal, not rigorous, but still evidence.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/21/boy-with-covid...

There's emerging data in the UK of a syndrome that's connected to covid-19 in children (but it may not be covid). Whatever it is it's not common, but a small percentage across a large population is a large number.

The Paediatric Intensive Care society put out an alert (weirdly using Twitter to do so): https://twitter.com/PICSociety/status/1254508725227982848

https://www.hsj.co.uk/acute-care/exclusive-national-alert-as...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52439005

Washington closed schools only 5 days before New York did (3 if you exclude weekends)

At the time, that was enough for "only" two doublings in cases at the projected rate of spread.

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