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> And we still occasionally get bad weather. I predict that scooter and bike usage will drop extremely fast once it rains for a week or two, or, god forbid, we get a real winter once again, with snow and sub-zero temperatures

Live in the Netherlands for a week and you'd be amazed at the resilience of Dutch bikers in bad weather.

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Maybe living with the knowledge that the sea lurks to drown you gives them fortitude ;)

I live in northern Germany, we've got plenty of bad weather and always have, and you can see lots of cycling when spring blesses us with a sunny and warm day, but it drops when it rains.

Maybe it's intention ("I want to ride my bike to work because reasons") vs opportunity ("I can take the bike, it's so nice outside") that helps create all-season bikers.

It's also an infrastructure thing. Is it faster if I cycle? Do I have a place with a roof where I can store my bike? Can I change and store my wet clothes at work? Expect from a few, people will choose the most convenient way of transportation.

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