Europe’s cities are making less room for cars after coronavirus
citylab.com
citylab.com
Some cities have seen greater business increases on pedestrian and bike converted through-ways because people in cars weren't just passing by.
Bikers and pedestrians stopped and shopped in the areas they were traveling through.
I, for one, look forward to making a choice to move to a place where I can live car-free and hope more cities accelerate plans like this.
I used to love driving, then moved here and stopped caring altogether when I realized that public transport here is significantly faster (and cheaper) than using your car to go from point A to point B.
So not only it's faster, it actually frees up time for other things.
So you really enjoy packed subways that make you feel like cattle pretty much every time of the day? Sorry but Tokyo is the best example of "best in class public transport" being completely over capacity for the amount of people they have to transport every day.
The feeling of independence (or not feeling like “cattle“) is substantially reduced in big cities, where you are subjected to a lot of traffic rules, overcrowding of cars, jaywalkers, accidents, potholes, diversions, expensive parking space... I could go on.
I think the best way to describe it is that it sucks either way to commute in Tokyo no matter what means of transports you end up using, except if you can live very close to your office, which is not the experience of 99% of people.
Commuting in Tokyo is not without problem, but consistently better than commuting anywhere else I've been.
Also, you seem to completely ignore the point that the alternative "everyone commutes by car" (or you have other alternatives?) would result in a constant gridlock given Tokyo's scale - so it would be orders of magnitude worse.
I challenge you to find a mechanism that works for this and is quick enough to keep up at rush hour in the average Tokyo train station.
Additionally, people move at different speeds through the station due to factors like age, familiarity with the network, disability, bladder capacity etc.
It’s a non-trivial problem to solve, and likely only marginally improves user experience.
I suspect the reason this isn't valuable is that the feedback loop is already pretty good at high occupancy rates: when one car is at capacity, every other car is too.
Not to mention the trains stop every minute or two, and people don't, like, book that stuff ahead of time.
And they already know which train routes at which times are crowded, if they could just add more capacity they'd have already done it.
- which cars are normally less crowded
- which cars are recommended for getting off at a certain station, based on proximity of the exits at that station to each car
Google Maps (as well as other apps) also show similar information when asking for transit directions (for the former it only gives you the average on the whole train, not by car)
I guess also "an hour or more stuck in between everyone's armpits" is also like a worst-case scenario, and it happened to me infrequently enough that I didn't mind overall. Or, Tokyo rush hour might have been like commuting on the LA interstate? Neither are very fun, but driving along the Pacific Coast Highway is a more ideal kind of thing. I think I've had a lot of commuter rail situations like that too which have made up for it.
But Tokyo is also very bicycle-friendly with not many aggressive drivers (ignoring taxis), so that's my pick to get around.
I use this system every day and for me, it's not just good, it's fantastic. The number of routes, frequency and reliability of service is unsurpassed in any city. Notorious crushing may stick in the mind, but moving around the entire city at any time of day...
That visceral image of over-crowding is real but not really representative. From now we'll all need to do more efficient sharding of work schedules and locations.
Bikes are either merged with car traffic, or simply go on the sidewalk, but i haven’t seen a single bicycle lane..
I expected the train to work to be packed around 8:30am, but instead there was tons of space.
Most of the time the trains in Tokyo aren't super packed (though I'm sure this is accurate for some commuter routes).
First of all this is not true, so I would start questioning whether you know what you're talking about at all, or whether you're not trying to have an informed conversation based on facts.
Outside of peak rush hours, roughly between 8-9 in the morning and 6-7 in the evening, and mostly on a few well-known lines, it is extremely unlikely for trains to be anywhere close to "packed". Let alone making you feel "like cattle". This kinda already undermines your point.
It is true though that during those peak times, on those lines, the system is over capacity. And this is where working for a company that has flexible working hours and that allows work from home helps tremendously. While this is still not widespread, there are active policy campaigns to push more businesses to enact the same measures - exactly to ease congestion in those peak times. So the problem is not structural, and there is a clear direction that can improve things.
Furthermore, even today with some planning and knowledge you can avoid the worst of the congestion (see my point about reach in my first comment).
Anyway, to answer your question: no, I don't enjoy packed subways, as I don't enjoy being stuck in traffic, or being robbed at gunpoint. But to me (your question asked whether "_I_ enjoy packed subways") it really does not matter, because both are things that I normally do not experience.
It will happen with cars and plastic here (NYC) too. I hope the polluters don't resist as much.
People of Vienna who wanted to go shopping in their cars could have went shopping in some other shops accessible by car.
There were no bars where the smokers could have went to smoke.
Now this might be the difference -- my town is mid sized and a lot more sprawly. My hypothesis is that folks had for years settled into lifestyles that didn't involve going to bars, and moved into zones that had few or no bars. When the city banned smoking, folks didn't suddenly change their lifestyles.
It's been something like a decade, and things have kind of gotten back to normal (present circumstances aside, of course). But it took a long time.
One thing that puzzles me, living in Vienna as an expat, is how much the average Austrian cared about banning smoke in bars/restaurants/etc (which is fine, don't get me wrong) but how little they do about car smog.
1908 - https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/5c/Mariahil...
2006 - https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/81/Mariahil...
Today - https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/Wien_07_...
Smoking was definitely the much bigger problem. The average Austrian, if he doesn't life in Vienna, is simply not confronted with smog. I guess what helps tremendously to cover up the smog problem is they constant wind we have. Honestly I only realized that it could be a lot better after my London visit. Until then I only have seen cities which were much worse then Vienna w.r.t smog.
"coughs in Graz smog"
Not just in this discussion, but whenever the subject of transportation and public transit come up.
If you asked me ~10 years ago, I could not have imagined not having a car. I finally sold mine 3 years ago and started biking and taking public transit everywhere, and it works just fine. On the rare occasions where I have needed a car (moving apartments, a wedding in the middle of nowhere), rental cars covered my needs.
The amount of money I save by not having a car is not trivial.
When we go visit my girlfriend's family in southern Germany, renting a car is completely mandatory, it's more or less impossible to do anything without one. So I absolutely understand where people are coming from, you need an environment where public transit and walkability are prioritized for this to work.
Then I moved to a smaller city with a larger suburb area. Within 6 months I had bought the car. The last straw was having had to wait an hour for the bus, carrying grocery bags. At the same time, you find parking spots almost everywhere, and walking was not that easy, with longer distances and in many places not even sidewalks.
It's just two different worlds, really.
Surely you can have city centres (especially old towns) without cars and people living in suburbs, with special needs or whatever to own a car.
I'd love to drive to a city centre and then have a walk without the traffic noise! I'd hate taking 90 minutes of bus instead of 20 minute drive.
There's a huge inherent contradiction here though: You are creating the very problem you want to escape from for everyone along your path of travel. land tends to be quite expensive in the city center, and parking is not a good use of it. Are you willing to spend $50 to park your car there to drive to the city center?
That's pretty common for people who drive into big cities for the day (or indeed to work for a day). Maybe they park on the outskirts and take transit in. But that takes time and, especially for a family, the savings may not really be worth it.
To most people it isn't worth it to spend that much, especially because traffic on the bridges and tunnels is usually so bad that the trains are not only cheaper but faster, too.
Completely car free city is a pipe dream. Diversity is good.
Cars need special roadways with expensive construction methods, maintenance, signaling and provisions for parking their bulk.
This takes up huge amounts of space that could have been used for waking streets, bike paths and attentive urban spaces, instead of large expanses of boring black asphalt.
Ask a shop owner whether she would rather have thousands of people in cars driving by her store and not even look at it, or hundreds of pedestrians who stop and look at her display windows.
Ask a cafe owner whether he would prefer to have his outside seating right next to a major thoroughfare, or on a busy walking street.
Cars actively make environments hostile and uninviting to people.
I'm talking about creating boundary around downtown to which remaining of metro can travel to by either means.
In a lot of cases (at least here) the shops were there first, and the thoroughfare grew in use next to them. This road cuts directly throuhh the middle of the entire city.
Specifically a stream that had decent walkable paths alongside was put underground and a big thoroughfare put on top of it. I'm part of an initiative to reopen the stream and put the traffic in a tunnel underneath, in order to create a park/urban space for people, rather than cars.
I want the entire city to be pedestrian first, bicycles second and cars dead last.
What you really need is a shift so the closer to the centre you get the more you are forced out of the car and onto public transport and ultimately cycling or walking. Cars should be for when you want to leave towards the highway.
Most of them are deliberately deprived of decent public transit, because a segment of people don't want buses and especially don't want trains in/near their neighborhood. The most common explanation I've heard is that public transit attracts the homeless, the poor and criminals.
A lot of suburbs are even designed to prevent walkability for the same reasons, leaving out logical shortcut footpaths and bike paths between streets and cul-de-sacs.
This obviously speaks to a whole host of societal problems and paranoia, to be honest.
With a good local train network with stops in every neighborhood, you could just leave the car at home and not have to worry about parking in the city.
I suspect some of it is political, if you are right leaning then you may well view cycling and public transport as a step towards socialism. It probably doesn't have much to do with the practicalities.
And this also I might add includes families with children. While I don't have any I know a lot of parents who don't rely on cars either.
(Certainly I couldn't really have done jobs I've had without being able to drive a car and would have missed out on many, many travel experiences including just visiting family.)
imagine my shock when i went to college with a bunch of kids from “the city” (nyc) who never got a license in the first place and many didn’t even see the point of it. truly mind-blowing.
now i live in LA and haven’t owned a car for years (but still have a license). it’s great! the weather makes this the perfect city for mass biking/scootering, if only we could convert even some of our abundance of street parking into bike lanes.
My point again isn't about owning or not owning a car but being able to drive a car when needed.
It’s almost like asking “well wouldn’t you want to be able to go camping?” Sure, if you grew up camping you might know you want that. But if you didn’t, why would you even think about going camping?
Similarly, if you’ve only lived in a city where you can hire a driver (cabs, moving vans, etc) as needed, why would you ever think you need to be able to drive? What is the situation you’ll be in where you need a license?
When I travel in the US, I go places like national parks which all need cars to get to.
I would absolutely not be fine with living in a city with no real way to get out of it.
Nowadays as an adult, I think on vacations it might actually be a good thing because I've found just taking trains in foreign countries is actually one of the more fun aspects of travelling.
If you take the average EE train, it is worse than Western Europe or Japan, comparable or better than US, with more extensive coverage.
But the bulk of work and vacations are fine. For work I’m usually in denser cities or can use Uber/taxis. For vacation, I also generally go to places with train infrastructure, or to a specific destination where a car isn’t needed.
When I moved to New Zealand after ~2 weeks I bought a car because it wasn't feasible to move around without one.
But, if you live and work in a relatively major city and are fine with mostly traveling to and from where there's good public transit you can make it work.
It's much harder in the US if only because, outside of New York City, there's sort of an expectation you have a car and things tend to be organized with that expectation in mind. People can and do get help from friends with cars but this becomes harder as you get further out of school.
When I was 18 and wanted a licences, I didn't had nor was willing to save up the about $3000 it costs, and later, when I had the money, I wasn't willing to put in the dozens of hours of my time. So getting one is on my "maybe later" list of life todos.
Thing is in Switzerland, as a software engineer (compared to jobs who definitely need licences), using a car is not just a matter whether it makes economical sense: Public transport is often just faster and in my opinion more convenient. E.g. my last time commuting from one city to another was, door to door, 60 min by train and would have been 50 minutes to 1 hour 30 minutes by car depending on traffic. The big difference being that I spent the time in the train working, reading, sleeping, chatting with people etc. and after work I could spontaneously decide to go out with friends, without worries how to get home after some drinks.
Same for weekend activities. Public transport gets you there and especially in Switzerland, cities are so small that you can actually just walk out. You can start e.g. a bicycle tour from your city apartment, no need to get somewhere else first.
As a said in the beginning there are still situation where I wish I had a licence. On the other hand, I'd end up using it maybe 2-3 times a year and I'm not sure how comfortable and safe I would be driving with that little regular experience.
One city had buses, which mostly served the college campus. The busses didn't run on Sunday, late enough at night for second shift workers to get home, nor run to the edges of town (where some factories were).
So many places aren't walkable (or can be easily cycled). One place I lived... the quickest route was on a state road, and didn't allow cycling/walking and wasn't safe for it either. The police would stop you, especially at night. The route that you were allowed to take was much longer.
I am now in a place where I don't need a car. (and I forgot to transfer my license while moving to another country, so I don't drive). Walking is safe. Cycling is safe. There are 'shortcuts' for walking/cycling. Public transport is pretty robust, though the overnight hours could be improved. I can even go to other cities - including some not-so-big-cities - using public transportation (trains or busses). It is wonderful and definitely feels like some utopia. It is so freaking wonderful to have such an option.
So when they were younger, there are times when you simply do need a taxi. It’s infrequent — buses, subways, walking cover most of your needs — but there are times when you really need one.
Sometimes a rental car/van/truck is the proper tool for a task.
I don't think I'm going to take public transit in San Francisco ever again. They are missing:
* Speed - BART is relatively fast, all Muni is very slow
* Frequency - BART is low frequency, Muni is also low frequency
* Coverage - BART coverage in SF is limited, Muni coverage is reasonably extensive
* Reliability - BART unannounced delays and breakdowns were a frequent occurrence. Unlike Tube delays (which were also frequent) I could not route alternatively because there is only one BART tube in SF. Muni does not have arrival times.
* Usability - You cannot tell before you pass the turnstiles at a BART station whether the lines are delayed or when they will arrive. One exception I know if is Montgomery St. Station but that's the only one.
1. Caltrain which connects downtown SF to San Jose and Gilroy, notably bypassing both SFO and SJC airport [1]. This is a low frequency, mid-long distance commuter rail link that runs almost exclusively outside SF.
2. BART which connects SF to the East Bay, notably serving both SFO and OAK [2]. This is a medium frequency, larger train - think a hybrid of commuter and light rail. It's fast, long trains that run medium distances.
3. Muni Metro which is the SF subway and light-rail service. In the downtown corridor, all the major stations (from Civic Center to the Embarcadero) overlap with BART, but the trains continue out west into the Sunset [3]. This is high-ish frequency, smaller trains that (outside the downtown corridor) run overland.
[1] http://www.caltrain.com/stations/systemmap.html
This says a lot. (Only transport which is okay without arrival times is one which has 5 min or less frequency)
It's just so easy to get a car in SF whenever you need it for a few bucks -- sometimes in 15 minute increments.
You seriously want to live in a car-free society after COVID19? The subway in NY was a major source of infection in the city.
https://marketurbanism.com/2020/04/19/automobiles-seeded-the...
> New York and other subways
> In multiple other countries, one cannot see the transit cities in the virus infection rates. In Germany the rates in the largest cities are collectively the same as in the rest of the country. In South Korea, the infection is centered on Daegu; Seoul’s density and high transit usage are compatible with an infection rate of about 700 in a city of 9.5 million, about 1.5 orders of magnitude less per capita than in most Western countries and 2.5 orders of magnitude less than in New York. In Taipei, the MRT remains crowded, with weekday ridership in February and March down by 15-16%. In Italy, car usage is high outside a handful of very large cities like Milan, and Milan’s infection rate isn’t high by the standards of the rest of Lombardy.
> However, rest-of-world evidence does not mean that the New York City Subway is safe. The Taipei MRT has mandatory mask usage and very frequent cleaning. German U- and S-Bahn networks are a lot dirtier than anything I’ve seen in Asia, but much cleaner than anything I’ve seen in New York, and also have much less peak crowding than New York. New York uniquely has turnstiles requiring pushing with one’s hands or bodies, and the only other city I know of with such fare barriers is Paris, whose infection rates are far below New York’s but still high by French standards.
> So the question is not whether rapid transit systems are inherently unsafe for riders, which they are not. It’s whether New York, with all of its repeated failings killing tens of workers from exposure to the virus, has an unsafe rapid transit system. Nonetheless, the answer appears to be negative: no evidence exists that the subway is leading to higher infection rates, and the paper does not introduce any.
https://pedestrianobservations.com/2020/04/15/the-subway-is-...
New Orleans has no metro. It's fucked.
I would say clean air is an example of Tragedy of the commons, where the pollution is an externalized cost. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tragedy_of_the_commons#Example...
This also includes trucks and diesel buses.
[1] https://www.businessinsider.co.za/georgia-helicopter-causes-...
However, it seems to me that allergies are much more frequent nowadays than they were in the past, and mostly concentrated in the cities. There's a study [1] linking allergies and asthma with pollution.
> Strong epidemiological evidence supports a relationship between air pollution and the exacerbation of asthma and other respiratory diseases. Recent studies have suggested that air pollutants play a role in the development of asthma and allergies.
So maybe more trees IS the solution, even though it would seem they're the problem?
This feels like one of those near-sighted decisions that leads to tons of negative knock-on effects.
It's making car drivers sick as well, they have to breath the same air and often air intakes are close to the exhaust of the car in front.
[1] https://www.lemonde.fr/planete/article/2014/03/13/auto-metro...
Might have become better since, but 10 years back Paris certainly was not, the public transport inside paris was pretty good (though cycling was bad, that I know is getting better at least), but if you came in driving from the suburbs there was no good way to transfer, no "transfer nodes" where you could easily leave your car and hop onto the metro or your bike.
For multi-modal to really work you need easy and cheap ways to transfer between modes, e.g. parking on the edges of the dense public transport network which is either free or included in the transit pass to encourage use, otherwise the incentive is to keep driving inside.
Remote working, better public transportations financed by taxes on private transportation, there are plenty of ways to do this without disrupting anyone's life, but since governments aren't stepping up fast enough, citizens have to take the initiative.
Some additional interesting links in this summary article: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/24/coronavi...
We used to own two vehicles when we lived in the States. I did take public transportation during the week, but still had to drive almost everywhere else. When everything is designed around cars, it can be extremely difficult to try and go without.
Oslo was mostly built before cars, so roads are smaller and highways go below or around the city. Oslo is slowly making it harder for cars to be within the city, and actually changing streets to be car-free. Having a car here is not a need, but a want. I like that.
That's a weird supporting argument. Can you name any urban centers that have not seen significant population growth since 1950?
But the answer your question: Vienna. Vienna has smaller population today than it did in 1910.
You're missing the more germane point that the relevant metric for "built" in this context are roads, not living accommodations. More people live in Oslo than in the 50s, but the roads and city blocks within ring 3 are what they are from prewar times, i.e. tons of small 1-way streets and the like.
Case in point : many, if not most, of the apartment buildings in "Gamle Oslo" (literally "Old Oslo" - the downtown area to the east of the railway station) were built in the 1980s or later, but the roads around those new constructions are still narrow 1-way prewar streets.
To my mind the parents point was pretty clear - Oslo is an older city, particularly from an American perspective, and you have to travel pretty far out from the city center to find an urban infrastructure that accommodates cars in the way the younger and generally more modern cities in the US (outside the northeast) do. This is 100% related to the city center being built before the dawn of ubiquitous private vehicles, and not to choosing some arbitrarily different urban planning "path".
Another comment mentioned the underground highways that have in fact done wonders to move traffic away from the over-congested city streets, which only reenforces the idea that the city proper was not designed to accommodate even a modest volume of car traffic.
> But the answer your question: Vienna. Vienna has smaller population today than it did in 1910.
That's interesting, but it's noteworthy that it has a higher population today than it did in 1950, so yours is an incomplete answer. The geopolitical reasons for Vienna's population in 1910 are unique, what with being the capital of a sprawling trans-national empire that ceased to exist.
This is likely similar everywhere. Traffic controls idiots speeding. For another anecdote, check out these statistics from Toronto [1], approx 460% year-over-year increase in stunting charges ("stunting" being the charge when someone is going more than 50km/hr over the speed limit.) One person recently was going 270km/hr in a 100km/hr zone (cops caught them because a tire blew).
[1] "Between March 16 and April 22, police have issued 6,978 speeding tickets and 224 stunt driving charges. In the same period last year, police issued 5,504 speeding tickets and 40 stunt driving charges." https://www.toronto.com/news-story/9960534-toronto-police-ch...
They do however have once a year, for about 8h, car free streets (only 4/5 but still). It’s such a delight on these days. Everyone is out and about, cops are at every intersections to turn cars away, and you can even hear the birds sing!!! But yeah that for a grand total of maybe 10 km of main streets, 16h a year.
It was wonderful — who knows if there’s any unbiased truth to it but it certainly felt like there was a huge reduction in stress cycling around. Even where it’s perfectly safe to interact with cars — bike and pedestrian route in the park quickly crossing a road into another park on the other side — it was just such a relief not to have to eye roll at the traffic jumping the lights as they turn red or be glared at by angry van drivers who had to stop for the hippy on his push bike!
It feels a bit like that now. Even more so really with the grater number of cyclists I see at all different times of the day (I’m out on the bike more than most, doing PPE deliveries.)
The appeal of a big city is potential to connect with lots of people from different backgrounds, skills and culture. This enables richer commerce and social interactions.
This doesn't happen without huge amount of commute and lots of social gathering places like offices, schools, restaurants, malls, bars, sports, gaming, park etc.
A city fundamentally has to make it possible for a lot more number of N x k connections – where N is city population and k is number of people any one person can potentially meet – for much larger N and much larger k.
THis is the fundamental difference between a big city vs a cluster of small towns/villages which are fairly disconnected from each other. Basically, towns and villages scale down both N and k.
Okay, so the question is how do we make it possible for such a large number of N x k commutes to happen? To support large N and large k the commute has to be faster and over longer distance. It has to solve for flexibility of hours of the day and also be accessible for young/old, men/women, kids, disabled etc. There are cost affordability considerations too.
In some countries, like US, they have social culture where young and old don't live together, those with kids have different lifestyle than those without etc. Then in others like India, young and old do live together along with kids.
Solving for high N x k for mixed demographics in a large urban sprawl is fundamentally more challenging.
You'd think that people avoiding public transport would result in increased car traffic. But in a scenario where the roads were already at or near capacity, that's impossible. Not only would a number equivalent to those switching from public transport have to use bikes. Because bikes also need (some, but less) space on the roads, car traffic actually needs to decrease.
As for road space usage, generally bike lanes are added by adjusting street parking, narrowing lanes, etc. Eg I worked on a recent project where two 4m lanes were turned into a 3m middle lane and 3.5m curb lane and a 0.5m buffer and a 1.0m bike lane. I can't think of many situations where bike lanes were added by removing capacity from roads that had usage approaching capacity.
https://www.alamy.com/stock-photo-cycle-lane-superhighway-em...
Now you still have close crowding: it's just outside the gate and not getting anywhere. I guess it's more about metro companies being able to say "didn't happen on our trains".
Is this really corona related? I'm hearing this for many years now.
Suburbs grew out of the idea of a separation of the public and private spheres. Please note the assumption there is that it separates them for the male breadwinner.
The female homemaker de facto worked at home. Most women's work -- cooking, cleaning, raising kids -- is done at home and is generally not assumed to be anything like paid work that needs to be regulated as a profession. Yet it is essential work, critical to the health, welfare and productivity of the world.
With people living longer, marrying later, having fewer children, living many years after the kids grow up and move out, etc. this model breaks down. As the world has generally moved more towards two-earner couples, a house in the suburbs has gradually turned into a nightmare we don't know how to escape because, at least in the US, it's our default assumption for a good home looks like and most of our financing and tax benefits etc are aimed at that type of home, so it is a large share of our good housing stock. Attempts to find alternatives, such the Tiny House movement, have largely not worked all that well.
We need to re-envision our social fabric. This baked-in, unstated assumption that most people are part of a nuclear family with multiple children and one partner doesn't need a full-time paid job is very much out of date. It's mostly no longer true and, unsurprisingly, the built environment we created to accommodate that lifestyle works rather poorly for all too many people today.
So that's where we need to start. And it is very much bound up with car ownership and car use because the single family detached house in the suburbs assumes you have a car and assumes a family of five only needs one car.
When mom and dad both work and the neighborhood has a dearth of children for your only child to play with, the social fabric that lived when I was a child in a neighborhood full of kids cease to exist and the road are congested and people are both time stressed and financially stressed.
This is the crux of a lot of the problems with the world today. We built a world for the parents of the Baby Boomers, in essence, and we haven't updated it. Demographics have changed, yet we continue to try to force-fit this shoe and wonder why it pinches so very badly, to the point of being crippling for many people.
Thanks for bringing up the idea of the separation of public and private spheres, it was something I couldn't articulate for a long time as to why somehow the suburbs always felt better and healthier for me. I still don't understand my peers obsession with living in downtowns (you can always drive downtown if you want to go there).
I do find issue with your need to re-envision our social fabric. This stream of thought is very old, beginning with Plato, the gnostics of early Christianity, the enlightenment and going through some pretty unsavory moments of the past two centuries. Underlying the tension this kind of ideas always have is the nature vs nurture debate; and certain disatisfaction/disapproval of human nature. The way society evolves is much more a consequence of how human nature is realized and expressed in modernity. I would say as I grow older that I've come to realize that accepting our humanity rather than trying to change it (speaking of certain artificious ways in which we try to "correct" our nature), would save the world a lot of pain.
When you mention the example of both parents working, though it is as much a consequence of both parents in many families working (leading to higher income, which means families where only one works get squeezed), as it is of women seeking to work and be more independent than they previously were. Even then, many women I've met, still have this natural longing for living in this nuclear family.
I do see that further increases in population density will only aggravate this situation. As the economy becomes increasingly centralized in cities, people need to work there to get a good income ---> however rents and prices just keep rising benefiting the people who already have significant assets in the city. If families were willing to forgo some degree of comfort/convenience/modernity, maybe a return to rural living could restore some of this fabric. However such a reversal in urbanification, seems unlikely given the current materialistic obsession practically everyone lives in. For a long time now, possibly earlier than the industrial revolution, the main focus of individuals is not who they are, but what do they have. To this last bit in some perspective, what would people think of Socrates if his death happened today, someone willing to die for his convictions? To a very big percent of people (and I myself recognize the bias to think this way. Something of how I was raised in this world?) it would seem meaningless, why couldn't he just compromise and keep on living? What was important for him was in some sense his soul/beliefs, for us it seems to have a comfortable life. C'est la vie moderne
My feeling is that there is a failure to communicate somewhere here. At the risk of just digging my grave deeper, if only because I'm horrendously short of sleep, let me try a second time to explain what I mean.
Our demographics have simply changed a great deal. It's not unlike saying "We can't weave what you want us to weave. We don't have the right material for it. That's why attempts to recreate the fabric you love have big holes in it."
When I was growing up, there were lots of kids out and about to play with in my neighborhood because most families had more than one child. You mostly don't see that anymore. The suburbs are ghost towns, with no children playing in the streets. Now, one child is quite common and parents have no choice but to join clubs or similar to intentionally create social connections for their child when that would have happened organically a few decades ago.
I was a homemaker for many years. I'm not against the nuclear family. It's just reality that our demographics have diversified, yet our architecture hasn't kept up and it's creating problems.
What I'm saying is the single family detached house was designed for a certain type of lifestyle and it's a lifestyle that relatively few people can arrange anymore. It's a cog in a machine and it no longer works for current demographic realities and we aren't changing it out for something that does work.
I'm sorry that I don't know how to say that more clearly. These are not really points I see made very often, so I'm not aware of well-developed language and standard protocols or mental models for conveying what I'm trying to say.
This is US-centric though. The notion of downtown vs. suburbia is the complete opposite in Europe for example, and in many other parts of the world as well. I remember as a kid learning English and learning about the US that it was amazing to me that "downtown" was considered low status and "suburbs" were affluent. Visiting, I was almost amazed to see downtown Minneapolis almost completely deserted on a Friday evening. It made me think of "28 Days Later". In Europe you'll mostly see downtown being the historical, beautiful and expensive part of town while some suburbs are post-war, concrete blocks of public housing.
> So that's where we need to start. And it is very much bound up with car ownership and car use because the single family detached house in the suburbs assumes you have a car and assumes a family of five only needs one car.
It seems to me that the odd thing, or perhaps not so odd when you consider the era they were built in mostly, is that these suburbs completely lack any city planning in terms of public transporation. As you say, it's a requirement to have a car to even get in and out of the place. The implications of this are many, and often quite weird seen with my eyes -- for example, teenagers are essentially "contained" until they get their own car, or know someone who does. You can't go out drinking without a car because there's no commercial area in the immediate vicinity. But anyway, since these suburbs are already built, couldn't this be resolved relatively easily by building public transport to the biggest suburbs? You wouldn't have to change the suburbs so much as the transport network around them, and perhaps add some local commercial areas to make them slightly more self sustaining.
As noted elsewhere, I'm pretty short of sleep, so I no doubt could have said some things better.
Yes, some of what I'm describing is very US-centric. But not all of it.
When I was growing up, most of the world lived and worked on farms. Within my lifetime -- in fact, within the lifetime of my children -- that changed and we now have more people living in cities worldwide than on farms.
The world has changed, but we still cleave to certain mental models that no longer serve us well. That's the super short version.
But anyway, since these suburbs are already built, couldn't this be resolved relatively easily by building public transport to the biggest suburbs?
Mostly, no. The suburbs actually built in the 1950s aren't so bad. A larger problem is the policies that era fostered in the US and the direction things have gone since then.
Average new homes in the 1950s were about 1200 square feet and held about 3.5 people. Today, the average new home is more than 2400 square feet and holds about 2.5 people.
There have been a lot of other changes as well in what is typical for a new home, but those details right there are enough to let you know that our homes have grown larger on average while our families have grown smaller. Meanwhile, we have a growing homeless problem (which people on the internet routinely want to claim is unrelated to housing supply issues and the high cost of rent, but the data doesn't support that conclusion).
Our family size has shrunk. Our homes need to also shrink and we need to return to patterns of development compatible with fostering walkable neighborhoods and transit-oriented design. Adding public transit to existing suburbs won't really achieve that.
The general assumption in the US is that young people should rent a place designed for a nuclear family and get a bunch of roommates to fill the extra rooms and split the rent. Then we make horror movies, like Single White Female, about basically what a nightmare this is. The internet is filled with horror stories of the roommate from hell and questions about "How on earth can I survive this or get out of this???"
We have eliminated about a million SROs. People object to SROs a "slum" housing. They are literally more comfortable with having people out in the street than with building housing that isn't upper middle class as our baseline expectation without providing jobs and incomes to support that as our baseline expectation.
While eliminating small homes that people could potentially live in as a single adult or childless couple, our millionaires are actively planning to eliminate jobs and create permanent unemployment. After eliminating jobs that paid on average $20k to $50k annually, our rich people here would like to institute UBI paying between $10k and $18k annually with an expectation that we will have 80 percent permanent unemployment.
Given that we have eliminated most housing across the US that costs less than $500/month to rent, there are a lot of places where $10k won't even pay your rent for the year, much less feed you. Without resolving our housing issues, there is no hope that some ridiculous scheme like UBI will do anything but shaft most Americans.
I mostly can't get people to really listen to me. They are too busy listening to multimillionaires and failing to see that those people are actively and intentionally planning to create a permanent underclass that will have no hope of accessing wealth ever again.
I was homeless for nearly six years while active on Hacker News. Simply being allowed to run my damn mouth in the same space as all kinds of millionaire businessmen absolutely didn't fix my life and lift me out of poverty and so forth. So I'm quite convinced that the entire point of wanting to create UBI is so that asshole rich people can wash their hands of poor people.
It's quite horrifying and I don't know how to stop it.
On the upside, the pandemic seems to have fostered some of the changes the world has been talking about for years and not accomplishing, such as reducing our carbon footprint and reducing pollution. So maybe we will find solutions anyway, in spite of bulling our way intentionally and on purpose towards a dystopian vision of intentionally shafting most Americans and telling them to fuck the hell off and forget about ever having any kind of a life.
SROs are going the way of the dinosaur and a lot of people no longer know what they are, so here is the obligatory link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single_room_occupancy
This comment is a little more on the ranty side than I really like. I'm just really short of sleep and tired of trying to be polite to people who literally don't care if their callous BS results in my death. So it's probably time for me just stop talking and attempt to go get some sleep.
So far only a single congressperson that I am aware of has advocated for it, and that's Ilhan Omar, who is a hero of mine.
Why is it impossible to have a UBI alongside other nice things? What better proposal do you have to reduce wealth inequality?
Sam Altman has grown quieter about it, but his desire to make it real persists. He put $5 million of his own money into a UBI experiment when he was president of YC and, more recently, he backed some presidential candidate who was proposing UBI as part of his political platform. I think the candidate's name was Andrew Yang.
My proposals:
We fix the housing supply issues we have and institute universal health coverage in the US. Those two things would go a long ways towards improving things for the lower classes.
I don't necessarily think it's impossible to have a UBI alongside "other nice things." I just know that what I've read so far doesn't at all bode well for UBI being a positive.
Should I start hearing different things, I would be amenable to changing my mind. Given some of what happened during the pandemic, I'm cautiously hopeful that someday things will be different.
But today does not seem to be that day.
Bus service in NYC would suffice if they killed off most of the other vehicle traffic. It is sometimes faster to walk than take the bus.
Honestly, the amount of vehicle traffic in NYC right now is perfect. They should just cap it at current levels.
Remote work is a great idea for many reasons, if nothing else it lessens unnecessary load on infrastructure systems, but having grown up in Europe with the "public transport mindset" I can't help but feel that a society centered around highways, car ownership and isolated suburbia feels almost a bit dystopian.
I believe the future is in cities, and for cities to work people need to be able to get around efficiently without having to each own a separate car that mostly just stands around taking up space and costing money.
What it can bring is lower average house prices cities and gentrification of neighborhoods farther away from the city center. People could move farther from the city center because they don't have to commute to work every day. (This is EU specific)
Your comment is literally short-sighted because in the long view, the pandemic will end, but health and economic benefits of greater density and less car-dependent life will still be a thing. Why should we optimize for an exceptional circumstance (a pandemic) and miss out on the benefits of density in more normal times?
I live at the very edge of a large city. Fortunately, I don't work in the city, but if I were, it would be a 30 minute train ride. Sure, I could also do that by bike, but it would take me ~90 minutes. That's not a realistic alternative. Scooters are fine if they are to replace buses that you'd take for two or three stops, e.g. a kilometer or two.
And we still occasionally get bad weather. I predict that scooter and bike usage will drop extremely fast once it rains for a week or two, or, god forbid, we get a real winter once again, with snow and sub-zero temperatures. People want comfort, and riding a bike in bad weather, even if it's an ebike, isn't comfortable.
Live in the Netherlands for a week and you'd be amazed at the resilience of Dutch bikers in bad weather.
I live in northern Germany, we've got plenty of bad weather and always have, and you can see lots of cycling when spring blesses us with a sunny and warm day, but it drops when it rains.
Maybe it's intention ("I want to ride my bike to work because reasons") vs opportunity ("I can take the bike, it's so nice outside") that helps create all-season bikers.
Right, and yet it will get parroted each time the subject surfaces here (i.e. twice a week).
I never had a car. At the moment, I live in a municipality of less than 750 inhabitants. I've lived in small towns of less than 4000 inhabitants, in areas below 1 inhab. / km². I've never had a problem, everything has always been 1 or 2 minutes away with a bike, or less than 10 minutes by foot. In such places, the farthest possible shop would be a mile away, at worst. By definition, we might say! since the urban area doesn't spread farther.
Density is not needed and it often doesn't makes things better.
In dense areas, things are sometimes closer (which improves walkability, but has little effect or bikability), sometimes not. But everything is slower. Not only cars, but also cycling and walking. Cycling: because of all the cross-roads every 100 yards, with traffic lights or without, because of the need of taking care of the erratic behaviour of pedestrians, of parked cars, of cars going in and out of parking slots, because of traffic jams or traffic density causing irregular pacing, etc. Walking, the same: traffic lights again, erratic movements on the pavement, being limited to pavement and a very limited number of crossings, which lengthen the route. I can ride over 10 km and visit 3 villages in the countryside, in the same time I needed to ride 5 km in a city (not even in the centre of the centre).
Hell, American suburbs should be perfect for cyclability, if not for walkability. Either the hard grid type with its huge number of streets/lanes/alleys every 100 yards with very very low car traffic; or the smooth shaped housing estate suburbia with its super-wide and empty streets; even on inter-blocks streets, the car traffic is much less dense than in Europe because those streets/roads are 3 or 4 times as wide as European streets/roads with similar role! Yes, there isn't a small shop at every street corner of American suburbia, but even if a supermarket/mall world, almost of the suburban area is with 1 mile or 2 of distance of one of those supermarket or mall, which is perfect biking distance; in most cases you'll have something half-a-mile away from home. Yes, there are also places where people chose to build a fancy house in a fancy estate on a hill-side, which make everything harder, but the bulk of suburban area is not like that.
I am not advocating for urban sprawl, I just say that arguing that walking and especially cycling would be only possible in dense areas is plain wrong: both suburbs and countryside small towns and villages can be plenty bikable.
Even in New York, Long Island and Westchester County have more cases per capita than New York City.