Well there is the church in Washington where 45 out of 60 that attended a choir practice got infected in 2 hours. Homeless Shelter in San Francisco went from 5 cases to 70 in a couple of days.

Could be you had one person that infected 200 fellow prisoners over a couple of days. After that you only need a week to infect everyone.

Strikes me we probably I was well need to be really careful drawing naive inferences from epidemiological numbers. That said suspect limiting group contact sizes is really important because of stuff like this. In order to keep random highly infectious people from infecting large numbers of people in one setting.

Given the suspected incubation time of around 6 days, a doubling time of 2 days would correspond to an R0 of 8, which seems improbably high.

Hate to break it to you but most people’s mental models do not work this way, and would predict strong coupling between infection rate and death rate with zero to two days lag. Even if we know better, the experience model builds our expectations.