Here's an article from a far more reputable news media organization published today also which says the policy is a disaster:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/19/anger-in-swede...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/19/anger-in-swede...
I think it's too early to call out a "winner strategy" - I think there will be a new wave when the different countries opens up - but that's my guess, and hey - I program computers on a daily basis, as far away as you probably can get from this kind of science.
(and yeah, I am a Swede)
[0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-si...