It's possible for both things to be true at the same time.
If Signal exists and is secure, will criminals use it? Sure they will, criminals are people and people want private communications.
But if you ban honest citizens from using Signal, will criminals stop using secure communications? No, they have an unusually strong incentive to use them and will seek out alternatives. The percentage of criminals who switch to insecure communications will be lower than the percentage of honest people who do.
Which increases the amount of crime, because the amount you're helping law enforcement catch criminals is smaller than the amount you're helping criminals exploit victims. This is also compounded by the fact that there are more honest people than criminals.
There is a theory of bureaucracy ("an institution will attempt to preserve the problem to which it is a solution") that says law enforcement agencies will ask for this even when they know full well that it will increase the overall amount of crime, because more crime is good for them since it means more law enforcement.
Regardless, I feel like there's a deeper motive from governments/law enforcement. It would allow them to claim that anyone using secure comms must have something to hide and is thus a criminal. Combine that with mass surveillance and anyone you see sending encrypted traffic can automatically be assumed to be a criminal. I'm not saying this is right, it's certainly not right. But I'm sure that's the argument that will be used by those trying to push it.
The only way to fix this is secure-by-default comms, such that all traffic looks the same and you cannot make any claims of criminality based on that alone.
Suppose you're a criminal organization or a foreign government. You break into AT&T or Amazon or whomever and get access to a bunch of data streams. If they're all E2EE, you have a bunch of inscrutable ciphertext. If they're not, you have everybody's passwords, trade secrets, credit card numbers, information useful for blackmail etc. Lack of strong encryption enables crime -- that's why honest people use strong encryption.
This has been a 2nd Amendment argument for ages: "If we outlaw guns, only outlaws will have guns."
It correctly identifies that the proponents need to justify the cost from substantially all law-abiding citizens following the law against the benefit from only the law-abiding criminals following it.
And say what you will about the benefits of law-abiding citizens carrying firearms, but if you want to seriously dispute the benefits of law-abiding citizens using encryption, try convincing a credit card company to let you accept credit cards on your website without encrypting the traffic.
I'd be very interested in hearing from child abuse investigators how the controls in the bill line up with how tech is used in abusing children. My expectation is that there is very little alignment, because "for the children" is most often the rallying cry of politicians who want something that is not in the best interests of the people they are supposed to represent.
No, you're putting words in their mouth.
You have your head in the sand if you don't think people use perfectly legitimate encryption service to discuss illegal activity. But that is not a reason to ban encryption. The entire US constitution is built on the premise that people have rights.
But it has always been true that some people use their rights to avoid having their criminal activity detected. That doesn't make our rights any less important.
Nobody is putting words in anybodies mouth.
As much as I'm near-absolutist on civil liberties, I think it's also valuable to recognize that the intrinsic good of individual rights are only one part of the story; the other is the balance of power between government and the governed.
I recently heard Sam Harris opine that from a utilitarian perspective, an absolutist right to privacy pales in comparison to allowing harm to come to children, and so the tech community needs to flex a little on the privacy question, and meet law enforcement halfway. Through that reductionist lens, it's hard to find fault in the argument.
The problem isn't limited to privacy, though. Unbreakable digital locks exist, and they aren't going anywhere. [0] And there is power in the ability to keep secrets. You can bet the Feds have little interest in a Panopticon, where they too are obstructed from keeping digital secrets, as "meeting us halfway" for some greater good. Rather, they want to hoard that asymmetric power as their exclusive purview. No matter how well-intentioned, that asymmetry of raw power is something We The People have a vested interest in taking seriously, far beyond some abstract notion of "I want to Google ${CONSENTING_ADULT_SEXUAL_ACTIVITY} without worrying the neighbors will find out".
The Chinese made mass surveillance even simpler: they have lots of cameras and face detection.
We don't have much privacy these days.
Secondly when a party consistently pushes for an extreme position if you meet them halfway as a matter of policy you will shortly find yourself within spitting distance. The only productive position is extreme obstinacy.
I'd say it's pretty easy. For utilitarianism to make sense, it has to take the future into account. And what looks like an absolutist right to privacy might be a utilitarian argument of the type that if you grant a monopoly of power (private or public) the right to make use of your private information, then it could well use that private information against you later.
An integral utilitarian might then say "it's worth some harm to children today to ensure there won't be great harm tomorrow". That kind of being able to trade off different scenarios of harm without regard to absolute principle is pretty much what characterizes (act) utilitarianism.
Obviously this bill is about more than that, but I think that statement pretty much torpedoes their main public argument.
What specific controls are you asking about?
I'm very concerned that technology will put something devastating (at scale) in people's pockets and then we're kind of screwed (do we choose big brother and all that entails, or indescribable mass destruction?). I don't have a solution but it keeps me up some nights.
In case you hadn't noticed, the government is currently on its backfoot and disruptive social policy reforms are back on the table. They want to make sure that corporations get everything and the people get nothing.
The encryption fight has been going on for decades, but at root their complaints about terrorists and child trafficking are covers for expanding a lazy version of COINTELPRO. Lazy meaning that they can just sit in an office and see everything. Let's not forget the FBI's role in trying to get MLK to commit suicide. These shadowy agencies are not in any way the good guys.
It's more like saying "sensors can but whatever crap they want in food they sell, but they have to disclose it accurately".
If we want criminal justice reform, too, for example, we have to agree that some criminals will come out of prison after their shorter sentences and they will get into positions and jobs where they will cause harm.
Any lightening of sentences will come with bad people getting through and hurting others. But, this is an acceptable price to pay to allow the other felons redemption in this world.
Yes! Also, one sure way to know that we have "privacy, security, and liberty" is that criminals are abusing them. And, as an added benefit, efforts to identify and apprehend criminals help identify weaknesses and OPSEC failures.
There's no way to guarantee a middle ground.
Of course, there's a whole 4th Amendment discussion there. And IANAL, so feel free to fact check whatever.
This has seen attempts at being fixed but dies in the Senate each time: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Email_Privacy_Act#Background_a...
If you want a good grounding in the legal precedents - both laws and decisions - that have gotten us here, read Habeas Data. Great book laying out all the terrible implications.
I think this is fine here, but I am compelled to point out and remind, given the amount of concurrence in the thread:
In a more rigorous discussion, I think this is a particularly dangerous line of thinking to the Stallman-level advocate and their campaign down the line.
Edit (oops. Chopped off a long version of this paragraph when I edited down the post): Privacy, security, and liberty are maintained by the advocate to be the natural rights that are paid in price for justice.
This isn't to speak of those in agreement here or myself (and not just limited to said advocate), but on the part of anyone that uses such framing, for risk of it massively normalizing, even if I find it an artistically made point.
You listed two things that easily and obviously line up with a Bill of Rights amendment... not sure there is one of those for encryption. Unless I’m just blanking...
Liberty is what wars are fought over.