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Super well done. Have you shared this with epidemiologists who have validated it? Hard to avoid some bugs no matter how careful you are!

What are the default values representing out of curiosity?

Seems the biggest bit here is the pause to intervention and how big your R0 is after intervention. Anything over 1 for the US population and it seems to get ugly fast.

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(author here)

default values are the best guesses for the parameters of the novel coronavirus based on my reading of the literature

Also though this may be falling into speculation but trying to account for total # of beds and peak hospitalization and adjusting outcomes when in that zone may add another important element when trying to reason about this.

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