Epidemic Calculator
gabgoh.github.io
gabgoh.github.io
- Enter the number of respirators in a country.
- Enter two fatality rates, with and without respirators.
Also, I don't understand why the peak number of hospitalizations would be so sensitive to the initial number of infections. That doesn't look right to me.
I've had a hard time trying to find hard figures on these numbers, and am trying to steer as much from speculation as possible.
Your second observation is a very good one. This is true, e.g. for the default intervention. Adding initial infections has a similar effect to waiting, and delaying an intervention can have a tremendous effect (at least according to the model) on the course of the epidemic
What are the default values representing out of curiosity?
Seems the biggest bit here is the pause to intervention and how big your R0 is after intervention. Anything over 1 for the US population and it seems to get ugly fast.
default values are the best guesses for the parameters of the novel coronavirus based on my reading of the literature
This one was made for hospital administrators and also estimates loads on their rooms and ventilators.
It would be nice to have a select input with countries that would update the population input based on the country selected. e.g. "United States of America - 327,000,000". It also may be nice to have a text input along with the range such that you can choose to either manually key in a value or use the range.
Noticed first Death and Peak also appear to be sliders, a bit unclear how these are supposed to be used.