This is like expressing the wish of wanting to run while simultaneously ignoring the fact that your hands are uncontrollably stabbing your legs with safety pins.
This is like expressing the wish of wanting to run while simultaneously ignoring the fact that your hands are uncontrollably stabbing your legs with safety pins.
This is not like our ancestors have done it. They spread as far as they technologically could, simple as that.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_human_migrations
Some settlements survived, some died and got revived centuries later, but humans have continuously tried to settle further away, in a complex system that you can't reduced to "establish more or less independent [remote camps] that can survive without [base camp] indefinitely".
Space is more difficult only in it required more technology and resources, but it's the same (complex) expansion process that is hardwired in our specie since we were mere apes.
But I think research on how to colonize other planets will help us in dealing with local climate change.
I mean, I don't worry about implementing a new feature at work by 2120. But I'd sure worry about having it ready tomorrow!
Also all those issues in dealing with colonizing space are, for most people, distant from their daily life. Climate Change is close to home.
But yeah, research on one might influence the other as you say!
"It's most unfortunate, and not only for your farmers, that you've chosen not to have sunlight this year... perhaps you should reconsider our demands?"
This is actually one of the best reasons to support SpaceX in my opinion. They are doing the R&D needed to provide a viable solution to global warming at a reasonable cost as a positive externality.
Source on sun-shade working at 20 million tonnes - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_sunshade
Sources on SpaceX intending to be able to launch far Cargo than that every year (note: I'm lazy so I didn't find a source that did the multiplication of 100,000 tons * 1000 ships for you): https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/09/spacex-plans-how-elon-musk-s...
There's plenty of incentive to just have people set up a solar sail. Plenty of people would rather live in an ice age than give up their factories.
I disagree on the foil pieces in orbit. Sure, that would be much easier than a single piece. But it would be impossible to correct or reduce the amount of "glitter" once it is in an orbit. A single piece (maybe spaced out with holes or cuts) can be removed or reduced as necessary.
Such a solar sail can be extremely thin, just needs to be reflective. So even hundreds of square km of surface are manageable.
A self-sufficient colony on any other planet or moon is way beyond that capability. It's not about doing one thing or another, it's one thing is a fantasy in the short term and the other is a real practical concern.
There's far more practical places on Earth to colonize before even thinking of bootstrapping an industrial civilization on another planet. Because that's what it would take. None of the technology needed to do the bootstrapping currently exists. You can't download MarsColony.stl from Thingiverse to load into a giant 3D printer.
We now have something much closer true reusable rockets from two private, competing companies that are both squarely focused on dropping the cost of launches. If a single party were to utilize them to build an ISS equivalent today, it’d undoubtedly be much much cheaper, and that’s just today. These companies have rockets on the horizon that would make space stations cheaper to build than settlements in some places on Earth.
There's also some in-space capabilities that have been lost with the retiring of the Shuttle. There's not really replacements for those capabilities on the horizon.
For starters the Shuttle was designed as an orbital work platform. In its construction configuration it launched with the CanadaArm, an airlock, and whatever ISS module it was delivering in the cargo bay. This was all in addition to the OMS, power and life support, and the crew cabin. It could fly modules to the station and assemble them without using resources of the station itself.
The Shuttle as a space truck facilitated one of the best aspects of the ISS design: the integrated truss structure. The truss structure of the ISS contains most of its base infrastructure. It mounts the solar and radiator panels, power and coolant distribution for same, and other support infrastructure. The individual crew modules on the non-Russian segment of the station don't need to use their mass or volume carrying these support elements. This leaves more of their interior envelope for astronauts, supplies, and scientific equipment.
The Shuttle also facilitated dedicated crew modules. Because the Shuttle's engines delivered modules to the station and could be placed with the CanadaArm/Shuttle crew they did not need to be mated to an independent spacecraft bus.
Compare the non-Russian modules of the ISS to the Russian segment. Because the Russian segment is essentially two docked independent spacecraft there's a lot of dead weight and needlessly redundant support systems. Each of the Russian modules have their own power and cooling since each needed those things before they were part of a larger station.
The Mir and Salyut stations, from whom the Russian segment of the ISS are derived, had the same sort of redundancy. The Mir was crowded and had very limited space and power for experiments. The modules also did not have the ability to support each other. If the power or thermal systems broke in a module it was dead and needed to be sealed off from the rest of the station. Because the modules were independent spacecraft they didn't have exterior connections or serviceable parts that could be repaired with a space walk.
Without the Shuttle or permanent orbital work platform like it, near term space stations have to be constructed out of docked independent spacecraft like Mir. A bunch of Dragon craft mated to a central docking module has far less capability as the ISS truss/module design.
It would be possible to build an ISS-like station without the Shuttle. The SpaceX Starship could be given a cargo bay, remote arm, and integral airlock. It could do a pretty good job configured such but that is not currently something SpaceX has announced. It would also require a lot of development effort as cargo bay doors are a structural weak point in addition to who knows how many changes to the Starship's design. Even a couple mated Starships in a "wet workshop" configuration would make for good orbital stations.
Assembling things in orbit is hard and unforgiving. Don't just assume that a reusable launch vehicle magically makes it cheap or easy. Launching shit into orbit is relatively easy, it's at least a solved problem. Docking that shit to other shit in orbit is much harder. Designing and building all that shit is expensive. Keep in mind, if your toilet breaks in space it could kill you if it can't be repaired or replaced quickly. So everything from the airlock to power distribution to toilet needs to be well designed, tested, and built or it is likely to kill you.
As long as it will be the case, we won't be able to start new, large scale projects without jeopardizing our ability to live on earth.
But does that actually matter in space? I am asking out of genuine curiosity here: does using fossil fuels in space have any real downside? There is no atmosphere, ergo no greenhouse effect. The vastness of space would seem to swallow up any sort of pollution.
If this investment is done using current tech, the impact on carbon emissions won't be sustainable.
It doesn't mean we should not do it, but a clean source of energy is a prerequisite to a successful space settlement.
One of those is not like the others.
Nuclear is the cleanest form of energy we have, cleaner than even wind or solar power.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2018/05/23...
I didn't mention anything about solar being dirtier than nuclear, nor did I ask for some kind of debate on the topic.
Sounds like a fun metaphor but human colonization has nothing to do with running or safety pins.
Space colonization is a game to be played after we have made human life on earth fully sustainable.
Then we would have enough time and resources to think beyond.