It is ironic that South Koreans would be worried about Americans and Japanese given the state of corona in SK.
I personally find that South Koreans are overreacting, but you can't really deny that their efforts to track the virus far eclipse those of Americans and/or Japanese. The people sitting in the White House don't really seem to care at all. Abe seems to only care about the coming Olympics (I mean, just look at how he handled the Diamond Princess situation).
In the long term, I believe we're going to see more cases of novel viruses spreading around the world as global warming unleashes dormant viruses. High density urban planning and new viruses is not a good combo. We'll probably need to drastically change our lifestyles to really combat future global epidemics.
Why is it that people need to be told the same thing over and over again?
Never mind: (1) the R0 [1] of this virus is somewhere between 3-4 and that of the flu virus is closer to 1, that means that you can have a lot more cases, and quite fast. (2) the flu virus has a mortality around 0.1%, this virus is somewhere between 2-3% [2]. (3) the chances of severe complications (pneumonia) with lasting damage are about 20% once infected.
This has nothing to do with global warming or 'dormant viruses', it is an example of Zoonosis [3] , a pathogen crossing the 'some animal' -> humans species barrier.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortality_rate
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoonosis
If this were a start-up you'd all recognize that it is positioned quite well to scale up, 'go viral', so to speak, no growth hacking required. Investors would be tripping over each other trying to get in on the ground floor, success almost guaranteed.
Regarding global warming, again, you're right that this virus is an example of zoonosis. I was more talking about the potential for additional novel viruses spreading around the globe.
That depends. The virus doesn't really care that you're young, healthy and have easy access to healthcare.
Yes, age is a factor, but you being young doesn't stop you from spreading it to those you love who may not be young, healthy and have easy access to healthcare.
That easy access to healthcare is predicated on a system that is not yet overloaded with cases in the 'critical' and 'serious' category.
It's all bell curves. So your personal perspective can (and will) shift as this thing develops.
People should definitely be more concerned than they are about the flu every year.
Way fewer people would die from the flu every year if more people took it seriously and got vaccinated. Some people get vaccinated, but not nearly enough. Also, every year many people continue going in to work (even if they can take sick leave) when they feel sick. That spreads the disease and increases the risk that other people will die.
Fortunately people are starting to wake up to the risks of COVID-19, and will probably change their habits (by washing their hands more and staying home when they're sick) to make the spread of both diseases less likely. Unfortunately, after the outbreak is over they'll probably go back to business as usual in respect to the regular flu.
The government is doing so much more to control the spread of the virus in South Korea. As such I can reasonably trust that the number produced by South Korean is trustworthy. The same thing cannot be said for the Japanese or U.S. government. The Japanese have an incentive to under report numbers because they've prepared many years for the olympics and don't want it to be cancelled.
I'd rather a government overreact than be complacent and baselessly optimistic and do nothing.
Hmm, what we heard was that the US only tested people who had symptoms, and people who didn’t wasn’t under quarantine. Looks like people thinks that self-quarantine disqualified as quarantine; they were worried that people can spread the virus while getting to their homes. Maybe this probably isn’t that much a big problem in US compared to Korea where public transport is less used?
Which is a crap shoot to begin with since the symptoms are fever, coughing and shortness of breath. A lot of the original patients were misdiagnosed as just having pneumonia since it has the same symptoms.
There's still a TON of misinformation out there as well. Just like in the Times today where they said in one sentence:
Yet the patient tested positive, and may be the first person to be infected through community spread in the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Wednesday.
So then, they don't know where he got it then? Wow, that must be serious, right? But wait, this is the VERY NEXT PARAGRAPH:
C.D.C. officials said it was possible the patient was exposed to a returning traveler who was infected.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/health/coronavirus-testin...
They first say its the first patient who was infected through community spread, then back off the very next sentence to say its actually possible he was infected by someone else? I'm not sure how this type of reporting is helping anything, other than by spreading fear, which during an epidemic is exactly what you don't want.