Source: professor John Nicholls a clinical professor in pathology at the University of Hong Kong and expert on coronaviruses had a conference call where he explained most likely outcome.
transcript here: https://www.fwdeveryone.com/t/puzmZFQGRTiiquwLa6tT-g/confere...
Additionally, even if there is seasonality, it may be that this has already spread too far to die out completely and cases will rise again in the northern hemisphere toward the end of 2020.
Third of third of common colds are caused by coronaviruses and they they show clear seasonal pattern (SARS don't because it's mostly human-animal transmitted). You can't say for certain that it's the case for this virus but it's very likely.
In regards to temperature, the virus can remain intact at 4 degrees or 10 degrees for a longer period of time. But at 30 degrees then you get inactivation. And High humidity the virus doesn’t like it either. That’s why I think Sars stopped around May and June in 2003 – that’s when there’s more sunlight and more humidity. The environment is a crucial factor. The environment will be unfavourable for growth around May. The evidence is to look at the common cold – it’s always during winter. So the natural environment will not be favourable in Asia in about May.
Totally different from "it will burn itself out by May", which multiple experts across multiple fields increasingly consider uncertain at best.
Most Singapore buildings and its public transport system are fully A/C.
"The coronavirus there keeps spreading" is technically true, but we're talking about 1-3 confirmed cases a day, and an absurd number of people who have been served quarantine/stay-at-home orders.
We're still Feb.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_East_respiratory_syndro...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_acute_respiratory_syndr...
It could be a number of things, my guess is a sampling issue. Given how secretive the Chinese govt is we'll likely never know.
Korea, Iran and Italy all have major outbreaks which only revealed themselves this week, but likely began 2-3 weeks prior. Iran has clearly no idea how many cases are in its country, its numbers are 15 deaths and <100 cases. That's over 15% death rate. Makes no sense compared to all other reported number, their real total cases are likely over 1000.
It also depends if there is a space available hospital --- overflown hospitals (as in Wuhan) will make numbers grow much quicker.