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This will happen as late as possible as it’d provide an alternative to a large chunk of native apps (so no way to charge the Apple tax).

The Apple tax is what exactly, in this case?

The 30% cut when selling on the Apple App Store.

Don't they take a 30% cut from in-app purchases? I would assume many would try to get around that with a progress web app.

Yes, for instance YT or Spotify subscriptions would cost you 30% more when purchases via IAP.

Spotify is NOT ok with that (I think they disabled IAP). However, Google does allow for that.

Protip: Tapping `<button/>` elements is 23% cheaper than tapping `UIButton`s, which is something I realised looking at my YT bill one day.