If you see a coin on a street aggressively patrolled by hundreds of people whose fulltime job is searching for dropped coins, you’re better off assuming it’s not a coin
Exactly. No point in even trying anything, if it's a good idea someone has already done it.
It’s foolish to assume supernormal returns on investment in a highly competitive market without either innovation or insight, yes.
Assume supernormal returns? Who did you mean to reply to? If it was me, why are you creating words out of thin air and placing them in my mouth?
It's delusional you think you are the best person in the area at something you haven't put any effort into. Especially when the area is the whole world economy.
If the market was aware of them they'd have been picked up already.