We live in a world where we punish for incorrectly jumping to conclusions.
But we don't punish for not stating correct conclusions when things happen.
Which seems to be a fault in the way things work.
People who go with cowardice, of lets not talk to soon, or don't speculate, or just tow official lines rule. It's why we had Weapons of Mass Destruction. It's why Science has the replication issues. It's not a small thing.