What are we planning on doing, digging up a trillion tonnes of the formerly fertile soil from previous areas and transporting it? I very much doubt that Antarctica and northern Russia have soils that are as amenable to agriculture after a few millennia frozen solid. Even if the area were enough, which it isn't, yields would likely plummet.
Civilisations collapsed in the distant past, migrated and fell, yet there was a glut of available land everywhere. So hardly surprising here we still are -- we were nowhere near limit. Somewhere else fertile and usable could be found. Borders weren't controlled.
To give a rough example, the UK currently has a population around 68,000,000. The black death in the 1350s led to the population falling from around 3m to 1-1.5m. London's population fell 60% from 120,000. I don't know the population during the Roman civilisation period, but well under a million. 200k perhaps? That's a hell of a lot more area per person, and a huge amount of scope to relocate come catastrophe.
p.s. The West has more forest than a century ago because most of Europe's forest was clear cut centuries ago. What's been planted particularly in the 19th and first half of the 20th century is monoculture forestry, completely unrelated to the former temperate rain forests and other mature native forests that once thrived, long ago. It's certainly nothing to crow about.
https://www.britannica.com/place/United-Kingdom/Roman-Britai...
https://books.google.se/books?id=t7KeBAAAQBAJ&pg=PT260&redir...
Direction of changes, short term, are more reliable where there is information, but with long periods without information, so only rare baselines.
Basically, we can’t see something growing exponentially for the disaster they it will unleash until the last minute (literally)
For instance, if something doubles every hour, we don’t realize there is any problem until the very last moment: one hour before, half the resources were free, and the hour before, 3/4. But two hours later, it’s 0% and we never saw it coming.
The point is well illustrated in the talk, I highly recommend it.
Surely you are joking. Japan is not self-sufficient with respect to food; they have to import around 63% currently and it is of great concern to them, see https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2019/08/20/editorials/j... .
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2004/feb/22/usnews.t...
A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a 'Siberian' climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread rioting will erupt across the world."
Reading these lines makes my blood boil:
"Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life,' concludes the Pentagon analysis. 'Once again, warfare would define human life.'"
This is a report by a military complex that has waged endless wars in the last 20 years. And they're steadily working towards a new major war right now. We don't talk about that on HN, but please spare me their reports about how climate change will cause as many deaths as their willfully engineered on false pretexts wars.