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I'd argue that assumption, [correlation of: current net worth -> knowledge about business], is flawed logically.

You do understand how he made that money right ?

Knowledge about business -> Current net worth

His entire net worth can be accounted for with Softbank's investment of $20m in Alibaba in 1999. That's now worth ~$110B... and he has a 21% stake in softbank.

Remove that.. and he's at 0 or even negative. Is that luck or skill?

Reminds me of Bill Ackman and General Growth Properties.

In what way, please? I only know about Ackman through his Don Quixote-esque battle with Herbalife. What happened with GGP?

I only had the general impression in passing that GGP was his big success that gave him the resources to engage the more recent nonsense. I first heard of him in connection with Valeant more than Herbalife.

It's like, maybe the order in which you have your life experiences is everything.

Well, you can infer that, and people do often infer that from losing a lot of money and then coming back.

But it could be just one-in-a-billion luck.

https://xkcd.com/1827/