I'm waiting for some honest soul to start the Lightning Strikes Twice Fund. Whenever someone succeeds massively, intellectually we may "know" that there's a great deal of randomness in that but instinctively we want to believe it must have happened because they are smarter, better, etc. So for their next venture we throw our money at them hoping lightning will strike twice. This phenomenon is most acute where markets are most efficient, such as in the stock market.