Andrew Gelman has a great blot post on this:
http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2010...
In a nutshell, the problem arises from trying to estimate small effects and then screening results on statistical significance.
http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2010...
In a nutshell, the problem arises from trying to estimate small effects and then screening results on statistical significance.
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