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> Updates keep failing on my machine

By any chance did you run some script or random "de-bloat" tool someone linked? Half of those break Windows Update and cause it to keep failing (either via setting permissions, host file changes, or registry alterations).

No. I think it's related to my full disk encryption that uses a custom boot loader or whatever

Exactly.

This page https://decentsecurity.com/#/holiday-tasks/ contains a lot of tricks to get Windows Update back on its feet (and loads of stuff to cleanup a Windows PC too)

I have the opposite problem -- I can't make Windows update actually do its thing. It's not a problem that I really want to be solved, though.

Do a search for "reset windows update".

There are a few scripts around which will clear all the cache files and allow you to attempt the update from scratch.