However, to your point, it does replace a dependence on ASICs with a dependency on the HDD supply chain.
All these efforts to limit bitcoin’s energy expenditure seem environmentally motivated, which is good. But the arguments seem equivalent to praising a safe’s security but criticizing how hard it is to open. Those features are linked.
Yes proof of stake or some other algorithm may take over eventually but we don’t know if they are as secure yet. Proof of work is the good idea that made the whole bubble possible and it remains to be seen if any of the other ideas can beat it.
Rather, my original question was why Proof-of-Capacity has not seen stronger adoption given that it appears to provide similar security guarantees with better decentralization properties due to a lower $/W/block cost profile.
Ok, but a "block" is not a set amount of value or effort, is it? The way I thought Bitcoin and anything similar works is that the resource requirements are adjusted in a feedback loop. If some other scheme is 10x more "efficient", then whatever the operation is that is required, it will just be done 10x as much.
I may be misunderstanding, but it sounds to me like saying "company A uses much less electricity to generate a share of stock than company B".