Ah, so there can exist counterfactual levels of description which are inconsistent with what may be the fundamental nature of reality. This seems accurate. (C.f. religion)
>We can attach probabilities to different scenarios, but it’s not the case that the weather state at the present time fully determines the weather state in a few days’ time. Multiple different trajectories are entirely possible.
In superdeterminism, the state of the universe at the present time does fully determine the weather state in a few days time. Multiple trajectories are not physically possible, though we are able to probabilistically model such trajectories based on the incomplete information that we do have access to.