Tesla's "maybe someday it will be capable of full self-driving" computer is now in all new cars. Also, Full Self Driving is a marketing term that may or may not ever mean Level 4 or Level 5 autonomy.
That's everything right there. It's not 4/5 if it's in tightly controlled circumstances. I can make anything level 4/5 if I get to control the conditions. It's the same as claiming 100% model performance by testing on training data.
Some conditions may apply. Driving under inclement weather conditions, or in a dirty car, or in winter, during heavy traffic, on a road with poorly painted etc.. is not supported. /s
Off by a few decades.
Rolling around a road, in broad daylight, with no adverse conditions and no "interesting" events isn't progress.
yes, merging onto a freeway is mildly impressive, but its not anywhere near state of the art.
What I'd like to see is what happens when someone swerves out in front of the car? does it stop dead? or panic and hand back control to the driver, just in time to crash? What about rain, or snow?
How does it handle diversions? what about new roads?
None of this is really about hardware, sure more power helps, as does sensors with lower noise floors and greater pre-processing. The difficult part is, and has always been, software.
What Tesla is doing is knowingly allow people to to unsafe software to gather scenarios that can be used as learning events. Not only that, they are getting people to pay a premium. I imagine that tesla will then rent the next generation of trained models back to the drivers, even though they paid for, and provided the training set.
As a Model S owner with over 10k miles on Autopilot, I take issue with you calling the software unsafe (I have never once had a disengagement that caused a safety issue), and I am happy to pay a premium to contribute to what I consider progress. I would happily pay more. Waymo vehicles aren't available to anyone buy a few beta testers. Tesla Autopilot neural net improvements are available to everyone in the fleet.
But, it is immoral to ship something thats barely level 2 and market it as an autopilot. Yes, they have made great strides, but tesla basically gambled that no one would crash.
This is the issue I have with our industry. That kind of slapdash "lets work 100 hour weeks and ship anyway, yes the target is impossible but a broken MVP is better than no MVP" is fine for a webapp. But for life critical software, no, no its not.
I do agree much more work needs to go into how life critical systems are developed and deployed, but impressed at Tesla’s development velocity without sacrificing safety (as evidenced by so few deaths in Tesla vehicles overall).
- Passing on the right. I almost never do that.
- Speeding: 75 in a 65 (0:28)
- Merging into a lane next to a car that was pulling off on the shoulder. That's a recipe for disaster. (0:41)
- Speeding: 70 in a 65 (1:03)
- The car angling the wheels right before a left hand turn (1:12)
- Merging over a solid line (1:15)
- Merging into the right turn lane at 30 and then taking the turn at 20. (1:20)
However, Colorado has a "left lane law" that applies on two+ lane highways with speed limits above 65mph. It is illegal to impede traffic in the passing lane, even if you're going the speed limit. https://codes.findlaw.com/co/title-42-vehicles-and-traffic/c...
A different law requires drivers in the passing lane driving below normal and reasonable speed, to change lanes (move to the right or pull off the road). If you're driving at the speed limit, it's by definition not less than normal or reasonable. And prior to the "left lane law" state patrol couldn't do anything about impeded left lane traffic so long as the impeding vehicle was moving at the speed limit, but since the 2004 "left lane law" you can be ticketed for impeding traffic in the passing lane even if you're driving at the speed limit (and you were always subject to ticketing if you were driving below the speed limit in the passing lane).
I guess the multi-lane open highway is the reason it's ok? Does that make those multi-lane open highways a free for all? No concept of a fast lane, overtake wherever you choose?
EDIT: Not all of the US, see below.
http://www.mit.edu/~jfc/right.html
States where it is illegal to pass on the right:
Arkansas, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey (My note: In 20 years of driving in Illinois, I have never been cited for passing on the right)